Arroyo vs Jerez analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
36.5%
Win probability
1.32
Expected goals
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.9%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.2%
3-0
2.7%
4-1
1.2%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.1%
2-0
6.1%
3-1
3.6%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
10.6%
1-0
9.2%
2-1
8.2%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
20.2%
26%
Draw
0-0
7%
1-1
12.4%
2-2
5.5%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
26%
37.5%
Win probability
1.34
Expected goals
0-1
9.4%
1-2
8.3%
2-3
2.4%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
20.5%
0-2
6.3%
1-3
3.7%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
10.9%
0-3
2.8%
1-4
1.2%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
4.3%
0-4
0.9%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.3%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-72%
+58%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Arroyo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Mar. 2010 |
VIL
2 - 4
ARR
15%
21%
64%
|
31 | 18 | 13 | 0 |
| 21 Mar. 2010 |
ARR
2 - 0
COR
72%
16%
12%
|
31 | 22 | 9 | 0 |
| 18 Mar. 2010 |
EXT
4 - 0
ARR
71%
17%
12%
|
32 | 43 | 11 | -1 |
| 14 Mar. 2010 |
CPL
2 - 1
ARR
36%
25%
39%
|
33 | 29 | 4 | -1 |
| 07 Mar. 2010 |
ARR
0 - 0
MER
24%
25%
52%
|
31 | 50 | 19 | +2 |
Matches
Jerez
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Mar. 2010 |
JER
2 - 0
OLI
69%
21%
10%
|
41 | 25 | 16 | 0 |
| 21 Mar. 2010 |
DPC
0 - 3
JER
21%
25%
55%
|
41 | 21 | 20 | 0 |
| 14 Mar. 2010 |
JER
3 - 0
UDS
67%
21%
13%
|
41 | 21 | 20 | 0 |
| 07 Mar. 2010 |
MIA
0 - 1
JER
23%
26%
51%
|
41 | 26 | 15 | 0 |
| 28 Feb. 2010 |
JER
1 - 0
VAL
66%
22%
12%
|
40 | 26 | 14 | +1 |