Arroyo vs Jerez analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
14.3%
Win probability
0.77
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.1%
3-0
0.5%
4-1
0.2%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.7%
2-0
2%
3-1
1%
4-2
0.2%
5-3
<0%
+2
3.2%
1-0
5.2%
2-1
3.9%
3-2
1%
4-3
0.1%
+1
10.2%
21.1%
Draw
0-0
6.7%
1-1
10%
2-2
3.7%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
21.1%
64.6%
Win probability
1.93
Expected goals
0-1
13%
1-2
9.6%
2-3
2.4%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
25.3%
0-2
12.5%
1-3
6.2%
2-4
1.2%
3-5
0.1%
-2
19.9%
0-3
8%
1-4
3%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
11.5%
0-4
3.9%
1-5
1.1%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
5.2%
0-5
1.5%
1-6
0.4%
2-7
0%
-5
1.9%
0-6
0.5%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.6%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.2%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-59%
+39%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Arroyo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Feb. 1998 |
CPC
1 - 1
ARR
53%
22%
24%
|
18 | 18 | 0 | 0 |
| 08 Feb. 1998 |
ARR
0 - 0
EST
58%
23%
19%
|
18 | 18 | 0 | 0 |
| 01 Feb. 1998 |
ARR
0 - 3
VIL
27%
25%
47%
|
19 | 26 | 7 | -1 |
| 25 Jan. 1998 |
COR
1 - 0
ARR
37%
25%
38%
|
19 | 16 | 3 | 0 |
| 18 Jan. 1998 |
ARR
2 - 2
CDZ
51%
24%
25%
|
19 | 19 | 0 | 0 |
Matches
Jerez
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Feb. 1998 |
JER
1 - 4
VIL
70%
19%
12%
|
34 | 26 | 8 | 0 |
| 08 Feb. 1998 |
COR
1 - 0
JER
9%
19%
71%
|
35 | 17 | 18 | -1 |
| 01 Feb. 1998 |
JER
0 - 0
CDZ
84%
12%
4%
|
35 | 20 | 15 | 0 |
| 25 Jan. 1998 |
MON
0 - 3
JER
7%
17%
77%
|
35 | 11 | 24 | 0 |
| 18 Jan. 1998 |
JER
4 - 1
CAS
88%
10%
3%
|
35 | 16 | 19 | 0 |