Arroyo vs Gargáligas analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
83.7%
Win probability
2.93
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.4%
9-1
0.1%
+8
0.5%
7-0
1.1%
8-1
0.2%
9-2
<0%
+7
1.3%
6-0
2.5%
7-1
0.7%
8-2
0.1%
+6
3.2%
5-0
5.1%
6-1
1.6%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
6.9%
4-0
8.8%
5-1
3.2%
6-2
0.5%
7-3
<0%
+4
12.5%
3-0
11.9%
4-1
5.5%
5-2
1%
6-3
0.1%
+3
18.6%
2-0
12.2%
3-1
7.5%
4-2
1.7%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.7%
1-0
8.3%
2-1
7.7%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
18.8%
11%
Draw
0-0
2.8%
1-1
5.2%
2-2
2.4%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
0.1%
0
11%
5.2%
Win probability
0.63
Expected goals
0-1
1.8%
1-2
1.6%
2-3
0.5%
3-4
0.1%
-1
4%
0-2
0.6%
1-3
0.3%
2-4
0.1%
-2
1%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0.1%
-3
0.2%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Arroyo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 May. 2009 |
ORE
1 - 1
ARR
26%
23%
51%
|
23 | 18 | 5 | 0 |
| 01 May. 2009 |
ARR
6 - 2
CAS
68%
19%
14%
|
23 | 19 | 4 | 0 |
| 24 Apr. 2009 |
TAL
1 - 8
ARR
23%
23%
54%
|
22 | 16 | 6 | +1 |
| 19 Apr. 2009 |
ARR
5 - 0
MAL
81%
13%
7%
|
22 | 12 | 10 | 0 |
| 09 Apr. 2009 |
GIM
4 - 1
ARR
32%
25%
44%
|
23 | 20 | 3 | -1 |
Matches
Gargáligas
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 May. 2009 |
GAR
1 - 4
HER
36%
25%
40%
|
13 | 16 | 3 | 0 |
| 01 May. 2009 |
COR
6 - 0
GAR
86%
10%
4%
|
13 | 28 | 15 | 0 |
| 26 Apr. 2009 |
GAR
0 - 1
CIU
59%
21%
21%
|
14 | 12 | 2 | -1 |
| 19 Apr. 2009 |
SAG
3 - 3
GAR
61%
21%
18%
|
14 | 16 | 2 | 0 |
| 12 Apr. 2009 |
GAR
0 - 0
AMA
23%
24%
54%
|
13 | 24 | 11 | +1 |