Arroyo vs EMD Aceuchal analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
20.3%
Win probability
1.01
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.4%
3-0
1%
4-1
0.5%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1.5%
2-0
2.9%
3-1
1.8%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
0.1%
+2
5.2%
1-0
5.8%
2-1
5.4%
3-2
1.7%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
13.1%
22.6%
Draw
0-0
5.7%
1-1
10.7%
2-2
5%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
22.6%
57.1%
Win probability
1.85
Expected goals
0-1
10.6%
1-2
9.9%
2-3
3.1%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0%
-1
24.1%
0-2
9.8%
1-3
6.1%
2-4
1.4%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
17.5%
0-3
6.1%
1-4
2.8%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0.1%
-3
9.5%
0-4
2.8%
1-5
1%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
4%
0-5
1%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0%
-5
1.4%
0-6
0.3%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.4%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-57%
-41%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Arroyo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Oct. 2018 |
MAD
3 - 0
ARR
88%
9%
3%
|
18 | 47 | 29 | 0 |
| 30 Sep. 2018 |
ARR
0 - 1
COR
13%
21%
67%
|
19 | 36 | 17 | -1 |
| 23 Sep. 2018 |
MON
1 - 1
ARR
46%
24%
30%
|
19 | 18 | 1 | 0 |
| 16 Sep. 2018 |
ARR
0 - 2
CPC
12%
21%
67%
|
20 | 38 | 18 | -1 |
| 09 Sep. 2018 |
AZU
1 - 0
ARR
77%
14%
9%
|
20 | 27 | 7 | 0 |
Matches
EMD Aceuchal
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Oct. 2018 |
EMD
0 - 1
CAS
64%
20%
16%
|
26 | 20 | 6 | 0 |
| 30 Sep. 2018 |
JER
1 - 1
EMD
53%
23%
25%
|
26 | 27 | 1 | 0 |
| 23 Sep. 2018 |
EMD
1 - 2
ADL
67%
19%
14%
|
26 | 19 | 7 | 0 |
| 16 Sep. 2018 |
CDD
1 - 2
EMD
35%
24%
41%
|
26 | 22 | 4 | 0 |
| 09 Sep. 2018 |
EMD
2 - 0
VAL
80%
14%
6%
|
25 | 15 | 10 | +1 |