Arroyo vs Calamonte analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
49.8%
Win probability
1.63
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.8%
4-0
1.9%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.7%
3-0
4.7%
4-1
2.1%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
7.3%
2-0
8.7%
3-1
5.2%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
15.2%
1-0
10.6%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.5%
24.6%
Draw
0-0
6.5%
1-1
11.7%
2-2
5.3%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.6%
25.7%
Win probability
1.1
Expected goals
0-1
7.1%
1-2
6.4%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
15.8%
0-2
3.9%
1-3
2.4%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
6.9%
0-3
1.4%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2.2%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-59%
-30%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Arroyo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Sep. 2021 |
TRU
0 - 0
ARR
42%
26%
32%
|
25 | 22 | 3 | 0 |
| 19 Sep. 2021 |
ARR
0 - 0
PLA
41%
26%
34%
|
24 | 25 | 1 | +1 |
| 12 Sep. 2021 |
EMD
1 - 3
ARR
39%
27%
34%
|
24 | 21 | 3 | 0 |
| 15 Aug. 2021 |
TRU
0 - 0
ARR
48%
26%
26%
|
23 | 23 | 0 | +1 |
| 08 Aug. 2021 |
CDD
1 - 1
ARR
36%
25%
38%
|
24 | 17 | 7 | -1 |
Matches
Calamonte
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Sep. 2021 |
CAL
1 - 2
CDD
59%
22%
19%
|
22 | 18 | 4 | 0 |
| 19 Sep. 2021 |
EXT
0 - 0
CAL
54%
23%
23%
|
22 | 25 | 3 | 0 |
| 12 Sep. 2021 |
CAL
1 - 1
BAD
54%
23%
23%
|
22 | 20 | 2 | 0 |
| 22 Aug. 2021 |
CAL
1 - 2
EXT
7%
17%
76%
|
22 | 60 | 38 | 0 |
| 08 Aug. 2021 |
CAL
1 - 0
DBN
16%
23%
61%
|
21 | 44 | 23 | +1 |