Arroyo vs Calamonte analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
13.3%
Win probability
0.8
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.1%
3-0
0.5%
4-1
0.2%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.7%
2-0
1.8%
3-1
1%
4-2
0.2%
5-3
<0%
+2
3%
1-0
4.5%
2-1
3.7%
3-2
1%
4-3
0.1%
5-4
<0%
+1
9.4%
19.6%
Draw
0-0
5.6%
1-1
9.3%
2-2
3.9%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
19.6%
67.1%
Win probability
2.08
Expected goals
0-1
11.7%
1-2
9.7%
2-3
2.7%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
24.5%
0-2
12.2%
1-3
6.7%
2-4
1.4%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
20.5%
0-3
8.4%
1-4
3.5%
2-5
0.6%
3-6
0.1%
-3
12.6%
0-4
4.4%
1-5
1.5%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
6.1%
0-5
1.8%
1-6
0.5%
2-7
0.1%
-5
2.4%
0-6
0.6%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.8%
0-7
0.2%
1-8
0%
-7
0.2%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-57%
-32%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Arroyo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Feb. 2018 |
EXT
2 - 0
ARR
73%
16%
11%
|
17 | 21 | 4 | 0 |
| 28 Jan. 2018 |
ARR
0 - 2
CPC
8%
17%
76%
|
18 | 45 | 27 | -1 |
| 21 Jan. 2018 |
DBN
4 - 0
ARR
80%
14%
6%
|
18 | 35 | 17 | 0 |
| 14 Jan. 2018 |
PLA
1 - 0
ARR
84%
11%
5%
|
18 | 30 | 12 | 0 |
| 07 Jan. 2018 |
ARR
1 - 1
PUE
22%
24%
54%
|
18 | 25 | 7 | 0 |
Matches
Calamonte
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Feb. 2018 |
CAL
4 - 1
PUE
57%
22%
21%
|
26 | 23 | 3 | 0 |
| 28 Jan. 2018 |
OLI
2 - 1
CAL
27%
24%
49%
|
27 | 22 | 5 | -1 |
| 21 Jan. 2018 |
CAL
0 - 0
MON
68%
19%
14%
|
27 | 21 | 6 | 0 |
| 14 Jan. 2018 |
AMA
1 - 0
CAL
20%
22%
58%
|
28 | 19 | 9 | -1 |
| 07 Jan. 2018 |
CAL
0 - 0
VAL
78%
15%
8%
|
28 | 19 | 9 | 0 |