Arroyo vs Mérida UD analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
72.8%
Win probability
2.38
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.4%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.4%
6-0
1.1%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.4%
5-0
2.7%
6-1
0.8%
7-2
0.1%
+5
3.6%
4-0
5.6%
5-1
2.1%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
8.1%
3-0
9.5%
4-1
4.4%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
+3
14.8%
2-0
12%
3-1
7.4%
4-2
1.7%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.4%
1-0
10.1%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.9%
16.7%
Draw
0-0
4.2%
1-1
7.9%
2-2
3.7%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
16.7%
10.5%
Win probability
0.79
Expected goals
0-1
3.3%
1-2
3.1%
2-3
1%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
7.6%
0-2
1.3%
1-3
0.8%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
2.3%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.5%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Arroyo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Oct. 2011 |
HER
0 - 0
ARR
13%
20%
67%
|
40 | 24 | 16 | 0 |
| 22 Oct. 2011 |
ARR
2 - 0
DPC
81%
13%
7%
|
40 | 24 | 16 | 0 |
| 16 Oct. 2011 |
COR
1 - 3
ARR
24%
23%
53%
|
39 | 28 | 11 | +1 |
| 12 Oct. 2011 |
ARR
3 - 0
CPL
83%
12%
5%
|
39 | 23 | 16 | 0 |
| 08 Oct. 2011 |
PUE
2 - 3
ARR
18%
23%
59%
|
39 | 26 | 13 | 0 |
Matches
Mérida UD
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Oct. 2011 |
MER
1 - 3
JER
47%
26%
26%
|
33 | 31 | 2 | 0 |
| 23 Oct. 2011 |
MIA
0 - 0
MER
29%
27%
45%
|
33 | 26 | 7 | 0 |
| 16 Oct. 2011 |
MER
3 - 0
VIL
61%
22%
17%
|
33 | 23 | 10 | 0 |
| 12 Oct. 2011 |
VAL
0 - 2
MER
23%
26%
51%
|
31 | 23 | 8 | +2 |
| 08 Oct. 2011 |
MER
1 - 1
PLA
55%
24%
21%
|
31 | 27 | 4 | 0 |