Arroyo vs Amanecer analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
23.7%
Win probability
1.05
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.3%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.5%
3-0
1.3%
4-1
0.6%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1.9%
2-0
3.6%
3-1
2.1%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
0.1%
+2
6.2%
1-0
6.9%
2-1
6%
3-2
1.8%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
15%
24.2%
Draw
0-0
6.5%
1-1
11.5%
2-2
5.1%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.2%
52.1%
Win probability
1.68
Expected goals
0-1
11%
1-2
9.7%
2-3
2.8%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
23.9%
0-2
9.2%
1-3
5.4%
2-4
1.2%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
16%
0-3
5.2%
1-4
2.3%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
7.9%
0-4
2.2%
1-5
0.8%
2-6
0.1%
-4
3%
0-5
0.7%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
1%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.3%
0-7
0%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-57%
-13%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Arroyo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Nov. 2017 |
VAL
1 - 0
ARR
60%
22%
19%
|
17 | 20 | 3 | 0 |
| 19 Nov. 2017 |
ARR
0 - 0
EMD
47%
24%
29%
|
17 | 17 | 0 | 0 |
| 12 Nov. 2017 |
TRU
3 - 1
ARR
65%
20%
16%
|
17 | 20 | 3 | 0 |
| 05 Nov. 2017 |
ARR
1 - 3
CDD
36%
25%
39%
|
18 | 20 | 2 | -1 |
| 01 Nov. 2017 |
SAM
0 - 1
ARR
47%
24%
30%
|
18 | 17 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
Amanecer
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Nov. 2017 |
AMA
1 - 0
PUE
36%
25%
40%
|
21 | 24 | 3 | 0 |
| 19 Nov. 2017 |
OLI
1 - 1
AMA
52%
24%
24%
|
21 | 24 | 3 | 0 |
| 12 Nov. 2017 |
AMA
0 - 1
MON
56%
22%
22%
|
21 | 20 | 1 | 0 |
| 05 Nov. 2017 |
PLA
5 - 0
AMA
76%
15%
9%
|
22 | 30 | 8 | -1 |
| 01 Nov. 2017 |
VAL
1 - 2
AMA
42%
25%
32%
|
21 | 21 | 0 | +1 |