Arroyo Cp B vs Moralo B analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
67.3%
Win probability
2.38
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.4%
6-0
0.8%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.2%
5-0
2.1%
6-1
0.9%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
3.1%
4-0
4.4%
5-1
2.2%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
0.1%
+4
7.1%
3-0
7.4%
4-1
4.5%
5-2
1.1%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
13.2%
2-0
9.4%
3-1
7.6%
4-2
2.3%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
19.8%
1-0
7.9%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
3.9%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.4%
18%
Draw
0-0
3.3%
1-1
8.1%
2-2
5%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
18%
14.8%
Win probability
1.03
Expected goals
0-1
3.4%
1-2
4.2%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
9.7%
0-2
1.8%
1-3
1.4%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0.1%
-2
3.7%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.1%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Arroyo Cp B
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Dec. 2012 |
CPM
2 - 2
ARR
67%
19%
14%
|
20 | 27 | 7 | 0 |
| 24 Nov. 2012 |
ARR
4 - 1
CFJ
84%
11%
5%
|
20 | 10 | 10 | 0 |
| 18 Nov. 2012 |
CHI
0 - 2
ARR
52%
22%
25%
|
19 | 20 | 1 | +1 |
| 11 Nov. 2012 |
CDD
1 - 2
ARR
75%
15%
10%
|
18 | 29 | 11 | +1 |
| 03 Nov. 2012 |
ARR
4 - 1
CPA
75%
15%
10%
|
18 | 12 | 6 | 0 |
Matches
Moralo B
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Dec. 2012 |
MOR
0 - 1
CDD
18%
21%
61%
|
17 | 27 | 10 | 0 |
| 25 Nov. 2012 |
CPA
3 - 2
MOR
30%
24%
47%
|
18 | 13 | 5 | -1 |
| 18 Nov. 2012 |
MOR
1 - 4
CPA
22%
22%
56%
|
19 | 28 | 9 | -1 |
| 11 Nov. 2012 |
CPT
0 - 1
MOR
11%
18%
71%
|
19 | 7 | 12 | 0 |
| 04 Nov. 2012 |
MOR
3 - 0
CDC
56%
22%
23%
|
18 | 16 | 2 | +1 |