Arroyo Cp B vs CD Ciconia Negra analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
75.4%
Win probability
2.58
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.5%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.7%
6-0
1.4%
7-1
0.4%
8-2
0.1%
+6
1.8%
5-0
3.2%
6-1
1.1%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
4.5%
4-0
6.2%
5-1
2.6%
6-2
0.5%
7-3
<0%
+4
9.3%
3-0
9.6%
4-1
5%
5-2
1.1%
6-3
0.1%
+3
15.9%
2-0
11.2%
3-1
7.8%
4-2
2%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.4%
1-0
8.7%
2-1
9.1%
3-2
3.2%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
21.6%
15.1%
Draw
0-0
3.4%
1-1
7%
2-2
3.7%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
15.1%
9.5%
Win probability
0.81
Expected goals
0-1
2.7%
1-2
2.9%
2-3
1%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
6.8%
0-2
1.1%
1-3
0.8%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
2.1%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.5%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Arroyo Cp B
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Sep. 2012 |
ADV
1 - 2
ARR
25%
23%
52%
|
16 | 11 | 5 | 0 |
| 23 Sep. 2012 |
ARR
4 - 0
CFT
69%
18%
14%
|
14 | 11 | 3 | +2 |
| 16 Sep. 2012 |
CPM
3 - 0
ARR
61%
20%
19%
|
15 | 18 | 3 | -1 |
| 09 Sep. 2012 |
ARR
2 - 3
ADC
60%
21%
19%
|
16 | 13 | 3 | -1 |
Matches
CD Ciconia Negra
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Sep. 2012 |
CDC
0 - 4
CDD
11%
19%
70%
|
11 | 28 | 17 | 0 |
| 23 Sep. 2012 |
CPA
1 - 2
CDC
55%
22%
24%
|
10 | 11 | 1 | +1 |
| 16 Sep. 2012 |
CDC
1 - 4
CPA
10%
18%
72%
|
10 | 26 | 16 | 0 |
| 09 Sep. 2012 |
CPT
1 - 3
CDC
48%
23%
29%
|
9 | 9 | 0 | +1 |