Arroceros de Calabozo vs Falcon analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
33.8%
Win probability
1.32
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.8%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.1%
3-0
2.3%
4-1
1.1%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.7%
2-0
5.3%
3-1
3.4%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
9.7%
1-0
8%
2-1
7.8%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
18.9%
25.2%
Draw
0-0
6.1%
1-1
11.9%
2-2
5.8%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
25.2%
41%
Win probability
1.48
Expected goals
0-1
9%
1-2
8.8%
2-3
2.9%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0%
-1
21.2%
0-2
6.7%
1-3
4.3%
2-4
1.1%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
12.2%
0-3
3.3%
1-4
1.6%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
5.2%
0-4
1.2%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.8%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.5%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Arroceros de Calabozo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Jan. 2014 |
POR
0 - 0
ARR
61%
21%
18%
|
44 | 50 | 6 | 0 |
| 15 Dec. 2013 |
ARR
0 - 0
ZAM
36%
26%
39%
|
44 | 51 | 7 | 0 |
| 01 Dec. 2013 |
POR
3 - 2
ARR
58%
22%
20%
|
46 | 50 | 4 | -2 |
| 27 Nov. 2013 |
ARR
2 - 1
POL
49%
24%
27%
|
45 | 45 | 0 | +1 |
| 24 Nov. 2013 |
URE
1 - 0
ARR
55%
22%
23%
|
46 | 48 | 2 | -1 |
Matches
Falcon
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Jan. 2014 |
MET
1 - 1
FAL
55%
23%
22%
|
51 | 53 | 2 | 0 |
| 15 Dec. 2013 |
FAL
1 - 1
GVA
51%
25%
24%
|
52 | 51 | 1 | -1 |
| 30 Nov. 2013 |
ZAM
1 - 1
FAL
45%
25%
30%
|
53 | 51 | 2 | -1 |
| 27 Nov. 2013 |
FAL
2 - 1
POR
50%
25%
26%
|
52 | 51 | 1 | +1 |
| 23 Nov. 2013 |
POL
0 - 3
FAL
37%
25%
37%
|
51 | 47 | 4 | +1 |