Arroceros de Calabozo vs SC Guaraní analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
41.2%
Win probability
1.47
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.2%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.8%
3-0
3.3%
4-1
1.6%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.2%
2-0
6.8%
3-1
4.3%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
12.3%
1-0
9.2%
2-1
8.8%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.3%
25.3%
Draw
0-0
6.2%
1-1
12%
2-2
5.7%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
25.3%
33.5%
Win probability
1.3
Expected goals
0-1
8.1%
1-2
7.8%
2-3
2.5%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
18.8%
0-2
5.3%
1-3
3.4%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
9.6%
0-3
2.3%
1-4
1.1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.6%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Arroceros de Calabozo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Oct. 2011 |
ARR
0 - 1
ATL
48%
24%
28%
|
48 | 48 | 0 | 0 |
| 02 Oct. 2011 |
DEP
3 - 1
ARR
48%
24%
28%
|
49 | 48 | 1 | -1 |
| 25 Sep. 2011 |
POR
1 - 1
ARR
56%
24%
20%
|
48 | 54 | 6 | +1 |
| 18 Sep. 2011 |
ARR
1 - 2
EST
80%
14%
6%
|
49 | 21 | 28 | -1 |
| 11 Sep. 2011 |
ARA
2 - 2
ARR
27%
24%
49%
|
49 | 34 | 15 | 0 |
Matches
SC Guaraní
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Oct. 2011 |
DEP
1 - 0
SCG
46%
24%
30%
|
51 | 49 | 2 | 0 |
| 01 Oct. 2011 |
SCG
0 - 0
POR
40%
26%
34%
|
51 | 54 | 3 | 0 |
| 25 Sep. 2011 |
EST
1 - 2
SCG
17%
22%
62%
|
50 | 21 | 29 | +1 |
| 17 Sep. 2011 |
SCG
1 - 1
ARA
71%
18%
12%
|
51 | 35 | 16 | -1 |
| 10 Sep. 2011 |
SCG
1 - 1
CAR
52%
24%
25%
|
51 | 50 | 1 | 0 |