Arroceros de Calabozo vs Policia de Lara analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
48.8%
Win probability
1.67
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.9%
4-0
1.9%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.8%
3-0
4.5%
4-1
2.2%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
7.2%
2-0
8.1%
3-1
5.3%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
14.9%
1-0
9.6%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
3.1%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.9%
24.2%
Draw
0-0
5.8%
1-1
11.4%
2-2
5.6%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.2%
27%
Win probability
1.18
Expected goals
0-1
6.8%
1-2
6.7%
2-3
2.2%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
16.2%
0-2
4%
1-3
2.7%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
7.4%
0-3
1.6%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.5%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Arroceros de Calabozo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Nov. 2013 |
URE
1 - 0
ARR
55%
22%
23%
|
46 | 48 | 2 | 0 |
| 17 Nov. 2013 |
FAL
2 - 1
ARR
53%
23%
24%
|
46 | 50 | 4 | 0 |
| 10 Nov. 2013 |
ARR
2 - 1
ULA
37%
25%
38%
|
45 | 50 | 5 | +1 |
| 03 Nov. 2013 |
CDS
1 - 2
ARR
44%
25%
31%
|
44 | 45 | 1 | +1 |
| 27 Oct. 2013 |
ARR
3 - 3
LOT
43%
25%
32%
|
44 | 46 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
Policia de Lara
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Nov. 2013 |
POL
0 - 3
FAL
37%
25%
37%
|
47 | 51 | 4 | 0 |
| 17 Nov. 2013 |
ULA
2 - 3
POL
60%
21%
18%
|
46 | 49 | 3 | +1 |
| 09 Nov. 2013 |
POL
3 - 0
CDS
49%
24%
26%
|
45 | 44 | 1 | +1 |
| 02 Nov. 2013 |
LOT
0 - 1
POL
53%
24%
23%
|
44 | 46 | 2 | +1 |
| 26 Oct. 2013 |
POL
0 - 1
GVA
33%
26%
41%
|
45 | 52 | 7 | -1 |