Arrifanense vs ACRD Mosteirô analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
81.1%
Win probability
2.78
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.3%
9-1
0.1%
+8
0.3%
7-0
0.8%
8-1
0.2%
9-2
<0%
+7
1%
6-0
2%
7-1
0.5%
8-2
0.1%
+6
2.6%
5-0
4.4%
6-1
1.4%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
6%
4-0
7.9%
5-1
2.9%
6-2
0.5%
7-3
<0%
+4
11.4%
3-0
11.4%
4-1
5.3%
5-2
1%
6-3
0.1%
+3
17.8%
2-0
12.3%
3-1
7.6%
4-2
1.8%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.9%
1-0
8.8%
2-1
8.2%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
20%
12.5%
Draw
0-0
3.2%
1-1
5.9%
2-2
2.8%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
12.5%
6.4%
Win probability
0.67
Expected goals
0-1
2.1%
1-2
2%
2-3
0.6%
3-4
0.1%
-1
4.8%
0-2
0.7%
1-3
0.4%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
1.3%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.2%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-30%
+417%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Arrifanense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Feb. 2015 |
MOS
2 - 0
ARR
52%
22%
26%
|
21 | 23 | 2 | 0 |
| 08 Feb. 2015 |
ARR
0 - 0
BRA
33%
23%
44%
|
21 | 25 | 4 | 0 |
| 01 Feb. 2015 |
RME
1 - 1
ARR
17%
20%
63%
|
21 | 12 | 9 | 0 |
| 25 Jan. 2015 |
ARR
8 - 0
ROM
86%
10%
4%
|
20 | 7 | 13 | +1 |
| 11 Jan. 2015 |
RNO
1 - 1
ARR
22%
22%
57%
|
21 | 13 | 8 | -1 |
Matches
ACRD Mosteirô
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Feb. 2015 |
MOS
2 - 1
CSJ
60%
21%
20%
|
11 | 8 | 3 | 0 |
| 08 Feb. 2015 |
SMA
4 - 1
MOS
28%
23%
49%
|
12 | 9 | 3 | -1 |
| 01 Feb. 2015 |
MOS
0 - 3
SAN
20%
22%
58%
|
13 | 19 | 6 | -1 |
| 25 Jan. 2015 |
MAN
3 - 0
MOS
81%
13%
6%
|
13 | 25 | 12 | 0 |
| 11 Jan. 2015 |
MOS
0 - 0
LOB
58%
21%
21%
|
13 | 11 | 2 | 0 |