Arrifanense vs Macieirense analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
36.8%
Win probability
1.56
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
1.7%
3-0
2.6%
4-1
1.6%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
0.1%
+3
4.7%
2-0
5.1%
3-1
4.2%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
10.9%
1-0
6.5%
2-1
8.2%
3-2
3.4%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
18.9%
23.5%
Draw
0-0
4.2%
1-1
10.5%
2-2
6.6%
3-3
1.9%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
23.5%
39.6%
Win probability
1.62
Expected goals
0-1
6.8%
1-2
8.5%
2-3
3.6%
3-4
0.8%
4-5
0.1%
-1
19.7%
0-2
5.5%
1-3
4.6%
2-4
1.5%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
11.8%
0-3
3%
1-4
1.9%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0.1%
-3
5.4%
0-4
1.2%
1-5
0.6%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
1.9%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.6%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-30%
+21%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Arrifanense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 May. 2015 |
ALV
1 - 1
ARR
63%
19%
17%
|
17 | 20 | 3 | 0 |
| 19 Apr. 2015 |
ARR
1 - 0
CSJ
83%
12%
5%
|
18 | 9 | 9 | -1 |
| 12 Apr. 2015 |
SMA
0 - 0
ARR
13%
19%
69%
|
18 | 10 | 8 | 0 |
| 29 Mar. 2015 |
ARR
1 - 2
SAN
45%
23%
32%
|
19 | 20 | 1 | -1 |
| 22 Mar. 2015 |
MAN
5 - 1
ARR
70%
17%
12%
|
19 | 25 | 6 | 0 |
Matches
Macieirense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 May. 2015 |
MAC
2 - 2
CSJ
89%
8%
3%
|
20 | 8 | 12 | 0 |
| 26 Apr. 2015 |
SMA
1 - 3
MAC
12%
18%
70%
|
20 | 11 | 9 | 0 |
| 19 Apr. 2015 |
MAC
2 - 2
SAN
53%
21%
26%
|
21 | 20 | 1 | -1 |
| 12 Apr. 2015 |
MAN
2 - 1
MAC
63%
19%
18%
|
21 | 25 | 4 | 0 |
| 29 Mar. 2015 |
MAC
3 - 3
LOB
83%
11%
6%
|
21 | 12 | 9 | 0 |