Arratia CD vs Trapagaran CF analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
61.6%
Win probability
2.08
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.7%
5-0
1.5%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2%
4-0
3.5%
5-1
1.5%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.3%
3-0
6.7%
4-1
3.6%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
+3
11.2%
2-0
9.7%
3-1
6.9%
4-2
1.8%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
18.7%
1-0
9.3%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.5%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.5%
20.5%
Draw
0-0
4.5%
1-1
9.6%
2-2
5.1%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
20.5%
17.9%
Win probability
1.03
Expected goals
0-1
4.6%
1-2
4.9%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
11.6%
0-2
2.4%
1-3
1.7%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0.1%
-2
4.5%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.3%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Arratia CD
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Mar. 2016 |
ACD
1 - 1
JUV
49%
24%
27%
|
17 | 16 | 1 | 0 |
| 05 Mar. 2016 |
LFT
1 - 0
ACD
49%
23%
28%
|
18 | 18 | 0 | -1 |
| 27 Feb. 2016 |
ACD
1 - 1
SOD
20%
22%
58%
|
18 | 25 | 7 | 0 |
| 20 Feb. 2016 |
GAT
1 - 0
ACD
45%
24%
31%
|
18 | 18 | 0 | 0 |
| 13 Feb. 2016 |
ACD
2 - 2
DER
60%
22%
18%
|
18 | 16 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
Trapagaran CF
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Mar. 2016 |
TCF
0 - 4
APU
22%
23%
55%
|
14 | 19 | 5 | 0 |
| 05 Mar. 2016 |
JUV
4 - 1
TCF
49%
23%
28%
|
16 | 16 | 0 | -2 |
| 27 Feb. 2016 |
TCF
0 - 2
RET
47%
25%
28%
|
17 | 18 | 1 | -1 |
| 20 Feb. 2016 |
LFT
2 - 2
TCF
56%
21%
22%
|
16 | 18 | 2 | +1 |
| 13 Feb. 2016 |
TCF
1 - 0
CDL
19%
21%
59%
|
15 | 22 | 7 | +1 |