Arras vs ES Wasquehal analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
56.5%
Win probability
1.78
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.3%
4-0
2.7%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.7%
3-0
6%
4-1
2.6%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
9.1%
2-0
10.2%
3-1
5.8%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
17.4%
1-0
11.5%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.5%
23.3%
Draw
0-0
6.5%
1-1
11.1%
2-2
4.7%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.2%
20.2%
Win probability
0.96
Expected goals
0-1
6.2%
1-2
5.3%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
13.3%
0-2
3%
1-3
1.7%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
5.1%
0-3
1%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.4%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-1%
-16%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Arras
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Aug. 2016 |
SML
1 - 0
ARR
40%
25%
35%
|
47 | 45 | 2 | 0 |
| 13 Aug. 2016 |
ARR
0 - 0
VCH
57%
23%
20%
|
47 | 45 | 2 | 0 |
| 04 Jun. 2016 |
ARR
2 - 0
MAN
58%
23%
20%
|
46 | 43 | 3 | +1 |
| 28 May. 2016 |
ROY
1 - 1
ARR
28%
25%
47%
|
46 | 38 | 8 | 0 |
| 14 May. 2016 |
ARR
2 - 1
LEN
49%
24%
28%
|
45 | 44 | 1 | +1 |
Matches
ES Wasquehal
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Aug. 2016 |
ESW
0 - 1
LIL
49%
25%
26%
|
44 | 42 | 2 | 0 |
| 13 Aug. 2016 |
SML
1 - 1
ESW
53%
24%
23%
|
44 | 45 | 1 | 0 |
| 04 Jun. 2016 |
PSG
2 - 1
ESW
44%
27%
30%
|
44 | 43 | 1 | 0 |
| 28 May. 2016 |
ESW
1 - 1
CAL
54%
26%
21%
|
44 | 42 | 2 | 0 |
| 14 May. 2016 |
SAN
1 - 1
ESW
54%
25%
21%
|
44 | 47 | 3 | 0 |