Arras vs Valenciennes II analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
79%
Win probability
2.74
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
0.1%
+8
0.3%
7-0
0.7%
8-1
0.2%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.9%
6-0
1.8%
7-1
0.5%
8-2
0.1%
+6
2.4%
5-0
3.9%
6-1
1.3%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
5.5%
4-0
7.2%
5-1
2.9%
6-2
0.5%
7-3
<0%
+4
10.7%
3-0
10.5%
4-1
5.4%
5-2
1.1%
6-3
0.1%
+3
17.1%
2-0
11.5%
3-1
7.8%
4-2
2%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.6%
1-0
8.4%
2-1
8.6%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
20.4%
13.3%
Draw
0-0
3.1%
1-1
6.3%
2-2
3.2%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
13.3%
7.6%
Win probability
0.75
Expected goals
0-1
2.3%
1-2
2.3%
2-3
0.8%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
5.6%
0-2
0.9%
1-3
0.6%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
1.6%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.3%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-1%
-53%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Arras
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Sep. 2019 |
TOU
0 - 1
ARR
15%
17%
69%
|
37 | 24 | 13 | 0 |
| 31 Aug. 2019 |
ARR
0 - 1
VIM
84%
10%
6%
|
38 | 23 | 15 | -1 |
| 24 Aug. 2019 |
USM
0 - 0
ARR
12%
16%
71%
|
38 | 26 | 12 | 0 |
| 17 Aug. 2019 |
ARR
4 - 1
BOU
79%
13%
8%
|
38 | 26 | 12 | 0 |
| 25 May. 2019 |
FLE
5 - 4
ARR
69%
19%
12%
|
38 | 49 | 11 | 0 |
Matches
Valenciennes II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Sep. 2019 |
VAL
0 - 0
FEI
19%
22%
60%
|
25 | 40 | 15 | 0 |
| 31 Aug. 2019 |
ASB
2 - 1
VAL
71%
17%
12%
|
26 | 33 | 7 | -1 |
| 24 Aug. 2019 |
VAL
1 - 0
GRA
40%
25%
36%
|
25 | 29 | 4 | +1 |
| 17 Aug. 2019 |
VAL
1 - 2
AMI
43%
25%
32%
|
26 | 29 | 3 | -1 |
| 04 Jun. 2016 |
AIL
1 - 0
VAL
49%
23%
28%
|
26 | 27 | 1 | 0 |