Arras vs Valenciennes II analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
54.1%
Win probability
1.82
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.4%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.2%
4-0
2.5%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.6%
3-0
5.4%
4-1
2.7%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
8.7%
2-0
8.9%
3-1
6%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
16.6%
1-0
9.7%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
3.3%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.5%
22.9%
Draw
0-0
5.3%
1-1
10.8%
2-2
5.4%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
22.9%
23%
Win probability
1.11
Expected goals
0-1
5.9%
1-2
6%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
14.3%
0-2
3.3%
1-3
2.2%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
6.1%
0-3
1.2%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-1%
-57%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Arras
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Nov. 2008 |
IVR
0 - 0
ARR
49%
24%
27%
|
38 | 39 | 1 | 0 |
| 25 Oct. 2008 |
ARR
0 - 0
LSC
59%
22%
19%
|
38 | 30 | 8 | 0 |
| 12 Oct. 2008 |
DRA
1 - 1
ARR
63%
21%
16%
|
37 | 46 | 9 | +1 |
| 27 Sep. 2008 |
ARR
0 - 4
FEI
35%
26%
39%
|
40 | 45 | 5 | -3 |
| 13 Sep. 2008 |
LIL
0 - 2
ARR
53%
24%
24%
|
38 | 41 | 3 | +2 |
Matches
Valenciennes II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Nov. 2008 |
VAL
2 - 2
AVI
39%
25%
36%
|
33 | 37 | 4 | 0 |
| 25 Oct. 2008 |
SED
3 - 5
VAL
64%
20%
16%
|
30 | 42 | 12 | +3 |
| 12 Oct. 2008 |
VAL
1 - 1
REI
28%
24%
48%
|
30 | 41 | 11 | 0 |
| 27 Sep. 2008 |
SEN
1 - 1
VAL
53%
23%
24%
|
30 | 33 | 3 | 0 |
| 13 Sep. 2008 |
IVR
0 - 1
VAL
69%
19%
13%
|
29 | 43 | 14 | +1 |