Arras vs Douai analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
74.2%
Win probability
2.24
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.4%
6-0
1%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.2%
5-0
2.7%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
+5
3.4%
4-0
6%
5-1
1.7%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
7.9%
3-0
10.6%
4-1
3.8%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
15%
2-0
14.2%
3-1
6.7%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
+2
22.2%
1-0
12.7%
2-1
9%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
24%
16.9%
Draw
0-0
5.7%
1-1
8%
2-2
2.8%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
16.9%
8.9%
Win probability
0.63
Expected goals
0-1
3.6%
1-2
2.5%
2-3
0.6%
3-4
0.1%
-1
6.7%
0-2
1.1%
1-3
0.5%
2-4
0.1%
-2
1.7%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.3%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Arras
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Jan. 2011 |
ARR
0 - 0
ESW
45%
28%
27%
|
39 | 41 | 2 | 0 |
| 23 Jan. 2011 |
MEZ
2 - 6
ARR
24%
25%
51%
|
38 | 21 | 17 | +1 |
| 16 Jan. 2011 |
SED
1 - 1
ARR
61%
23%
16%
|
38 | 45 | 7 | 0 |
| 27 Nov. 2010 |
ARR
2 - 1
CHA
18%
23%
58%
|
37 | 54 | 17 | +1 |
| 13 Nov. 2010 |
LIL
1 - 1
ARR
50%
24%
25%
|
37 | 36 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
Douai
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Jan. 2011 |
SED
2 - 0
DOU
79%
14%
7%
|
21 | 43 | 22 | 0 |
| 22 Jan. 2011 |
LIL
1 - 2
DOU
74%
16%
9%
|
20 | 35 | 15 | +1 |
| 16 Jan. 2011 |
DOU
3 - 0
MEZ
33%
24%
43%
|
18 | 23 | 5 | +2 |
| 09 Jan. 2011 |
DOU
1 - 3
ROY
19%
24%
57%
|
19 | 37 | 18 | -1 |
| 28 Nov. 2010 |
RAC
2 - 0
DOU
80%
14%
6%
|
20 | 44 | 24 | -1 |