Arras vs Tinqueux analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
73.9%
Win probability
2.32
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.4%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.4%
6-0
1.1%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.3%
5-0
2.7%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
0.1%
+5
3.6%
4-0
5.9%
5-1
1.9%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
8.1%
3-0
10.2%
4-1
4.1%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
15%
2-0
13.1%
3-1
7.1%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.9%
1-0
11.3%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.3%
16.6%
Draw
0-0
4.9%
1-1
7.9%
2-2
3.2%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
16.6%
9.5%
Win probability
0.7
Expected goals
0-1
3.4%
1-2
2.8%
2-3
0.7%
3-4
0.1%
-1
7%
0-2
1.2%
1-3
0.6%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
2%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.4%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Arras
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Jan. 2010 |
AVI
2 - 0
ARR
52%
24%
24%
|
41 | 41 | 0 | 0 |
| 14 Nov. 2009 |
CRE
2 - 0
ARR
33%
25%
42%
|
44 | 34 | 10 | -3 |
| 07 Nov. 2009 |
ARR
3 - 1
ROY
51%
25%
24%
|
42 | 41 | 1 | +2 |
| 24 Oct. 2009 |
LIL
0 - 1
ARR
35%
26%
40%
|
41 | 35 | 6 | +1 |
| 10 Oct. 2009 |
ARR
0 - 0
SCM
76%
16%
9%
|
42 | 20 | 22 | -1 |
Matches
Tinqueux
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Jan. 2010 |
LIL
0 - 2
SCT
69%
19%
13%
|
20 | 31 | 11 | 0 |
| 05 Dec. 2009 |
AUB
7 - 0
SCT
77%
15%
8%
|
21 | 42 | 21 | -1 |
| 14 Nov. 2009 |
SEN
2 - 0
SCT
71%
18%
12%
|
21 | 35 | 14 | 0 |
| 08 Nov. 2009 |
SCT
2 - 1
LES
22%
25%
53%
|
19 | 33 | 14 | +2 |
| 25 Oct. 2009 |
BEA
3 - 0
SCT
70%
18%
12%
|
19 | 28 | 9 | 0 |