Arras vs Épinal analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
31.1%
Win probability
1.27
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.6%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.9%
3-0
2%
4-1
1%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.2%
2-0
4.8%
3-1
3.1%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
8.8%
1-0
7.6%
2-1
7.4%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
17.9%
24.9%
Draw
0-0
6%
1-1
11.8%
2-2
5.8%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.9%
43.9%
Win probability
1.55
Expected goals
0-1
9.3%
1-2
9.1%
2-3
3%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0%
-1
21.9%
0-2
7.2%
1-3
4.7%
2-4
1.2%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
13.2%
0-3
3.7%
1-4
1.8%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
5.9%
0-4
1.4%
1-5
0.6%
2-6
0.1%
-4
2.1%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.6%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-1%
-35%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Arras
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Sep. 2018 |
LUS
6 - 1
ARR
63%
20%
17%
|
47 | 53 | 6 | 0 |
| 01 Sep. 2018 |
ARR
1 - 1
BOB
62%
21%
17%
|
48 | 42 | 6 | -1 |
| 25 Aug. 2018 |
ARR
2 - 2
IRI
56%
23%
21%
|
48 | 45 | 3 | 0 |
| 18 Aug. 2018 |
REI
2 - 0
ARR
28%
24%
48%
|
49 | 42 | 7 | -1 |
| 11 Aug. 2018 |
ARR
1 - 2
FLE
44%
26%
30%
|
50 | 52 | 2 | -1 |
Matches
Épinal
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Sep. 2018 |
SPI
1 - 1
REI
68%
19%
14%
|
52 | 45 | 7 | 0 |
| 01 Sep. 2018 |
FLE
2 - 2
SPI
39%
28%
33%
|
52 | 52 | 0 | 0 |
| 25 Aug. 2018 |
SPI
1 - 0
FCS
77%
15%
8%
|
52 | 40 | 12 | 0 |
| 18 Aug. 2018 |
LIL
1 - 0
SPI
22%
24%
54%
|
53 | 42 | 11 | -1 |
| 11 Aug. 2018 |
SPI
2 - 1
SML
61%
21%
18%
|
52 | 48 | 4 | +1 |