Arras vs St Geneviève analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
62.9%
Win probability
1.96
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.6%
5-0
1.4%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.9%
4-0
3.6%
5-1
1.2%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.1%
3-0
7.4%
4-1
3.2%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
11.2%
2-0
11.3%
3-1
6.4%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
19.3%
1-0
11.6%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.7%
21.1%
Draw
0-0
5.9%
1-1
10.1%
2-2
4.3%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
21.1%
15.9%
Win probability
0.87
Expected goals
0-1
5.1%
1-2
4.4%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
10.9%
0-2
2.2%
1-3
1.3%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
3.8%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
1%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-1%
-37%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Arras
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Sep. 2017 |
FUR
0 - 1
ARR
20%
23%
57%
|
49 | 39 | 10 | 0 |
| 02 Sep. 2017 |
ARR
2 - 3
LEN
58%
22%
21%
|
50 | 44 | 6 | -1 |
| 26 Aug. 2017 |
REI
3 - 3
ARR
30%
25%
46%
|
50 | 44 | 6 | 0 |
| 19 Aug. 2017 |
ARR
0 - 0
IRI
58%
22%
20%
|
50 | 45 | 5 | 0 |
| 12 Aug. 2017 |
SML
2 - 2
ARR
45%
25%
30%
|
50 | 51 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
St Geneviève
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Sep. 2017 |
STG
1 - 1
FLE
22%
27%
52%
|
44 | 55 | 11 | 0 |
| 02 Sep. 2017 |
POI
0 - 1
STG
51%
25%
25%
|
44 | 43 | 1 | 0 |
| 26 Aug. 2017 |
STG
0 - 1
AAC
46%
27%
27%
|
44 | 45 | 1 | 0 |
| 19 Aug. 2017 |
LIL
0 - 2
STG
50%
25%
25%
|
43 | 44 | 1 | +1 |
| 12 Aug. 2017 |
STG
1 - 3
SED
17%
24%
59%
|
44 | 55 | 11 | -1 |