Arras vs QRM analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
27.7%
Win probability
1.17
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.5%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.7%
3-0
1.6%
4-1
0.8%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
2.6%
2-0
4.2%
3-1
2.7%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
+2
7.6%
1-0
7.2%
2-1
6.8%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
16.6%
24.6%
Draw
0-0
6.1%
1-1
11.7%
2-2
5.5%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
24.6%
47.7%
Win probability
1.62
Expected goals
0-1
9.9%
1-2
9.4%
2-3
3%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0%
-1
22.9%
0-2
8%
1-3
5.1%
2-4
1.2%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
14.5%
0-3
4.3%
1-4
2.1%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
6.8%
0-4
1.8%
1-5
0.7%
2-6
0.1%
-4
2.5%
0-5
0.6%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.8%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-1%
-26%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Arras
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Feb. 2015 |
LEN
1 - 0
ARR
50%
24%
26%
|
44 | 47 | 3 | 0 |
| 28 Jan. 2015 |
ARR
2 - 1
ROY
46%
26%
29%
|
41 | 45 | 4 | +3 |
| 24 Jan. 2015 |
MAN
4 - 2
ARR
39%
26%
35%
|
43 | 41 | 2 | -2 |
| 20 Dec. 2014 |
DIE
1 - 0
ARR
46%
25%
29%
|
44 | 46 | 2 | -1 |
| 06 Dec. 2014 |
ARR
2 - 4
DUN
19%
25%
56%
|
45 | 62 | 17 | -1 |
Matches
QRM
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Feb. 2015 |
QUE
1 - 0
AAC
59%
22%
19%
|
51 | 49 | 2 | 0 |
| 10 Feb. 2015 |
USB
2 - 0
QUE
71%
18%
11%
|
51 | 65 | 14 | 0 |
| 31 Jan. 2015 |
SED
2 - 1
QUE
65%
20%
15%
|
52 | 59 | 7 | -1 |
| 24 Jan. 2015 |
QUE
1 - 2
CAL
77%
16%
8%
|
53 | 40 | 13 | -1 |
| 20 Jan. 2015 |
QUE
1 - 1
BAS
12%
19%
70%
|
52 | 80 | 28 | +1 |