Arras vs Noisy-le-Sec analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
79.7%
Win probability
2.47
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.5%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.6%
6-0
1.6%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.9%
5-0
3.8%
6-1
0.8%
7-2
0.1%
+5
4.7%
4-0
7.6%
5-1
2.1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
9.9%
3-0
12.3%
4-1
4.2%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
<0%
+3
17.1%
2-0
14.9%
3-1
6.7%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
22.9%
1-0
12.1%
2-1
8.2%
3-2
1.8%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.3%
14.1%
Draw
0-0
4.9%
1-1
6.6%
2-2
2.2%
3-3
0.3%
4-4
<0%
0
14.1%
6.2%
Win probability
0.55
Expected goals
0-1
2.7%
1-2
1.8%
2-3
0.4%
3-4
0%
-1
4.9%
0-2
0.7%
1-3
0.3%
2-4
0.1%
-2
1.1%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0%
-3
0.2%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-1%
-9%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Arras
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Apr. 2014 |
CAE
1 - 1
ARR
32%
26%
42%
|
44 | 36 | 8 | 0 |
| 05 Apr. 2014 |
ARR
3 - 3
UJA
62%
22%
17%
|
44 | 38 | 6 | 0 |
| 29 Mar. 2014 |
CAL
1 - 0
ARR
31%
26%
43%
|
46 | 36 | 10 | -2 |
| 22 Mar. 2014 |
MAR
2 - 3
ARR
19%
24%
57%
|
45 | 30 | 15 | +1 |
| 15 Mar. 2014 |
ARR
4 - 0
QUE
77%
15%
8%
|
45 | 28 | 17 | 0 |
Matches
Noisy-le-Sec
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Apr. 2014 |
GRA
4 - 1
NOI
39%
28%
34%
|
31 | 26 | 5 | 0 |
| 05 Apr. 2014 |
NOI
1 - 1
CAE
36%
26%
38%
|
31 | 36 | 5 | 0 |
| 29 Mar. 2014 |
UJA
1 - 0
NOI
62%
23%
15%
|
32 | 38 | 6 | -1 |
| 15 Mar. 2014 |
NOI
1 - 0
CAL
35%
28%
37%
|
31 | 37 | 6 | +1 |
| 09 Mar. 2014 |
QUE
2 - 1
NOI
49%
24%
27%
|
32 | 27 | 5 | -1 |