Arras vs Lusitanos de Saint-Maur analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
20.1%
Win probability
0.92
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
0.1%
+4
0.3%
3-0
0.9%
4-1
0.4%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1.4%
2-0
3%
3-1
1.6%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
5%
1-0
6.6%
2-1
5.2%
3-2
1.4%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
13.4%
23.8%
Draw
0-0
7.1%
1-1
11.3%
2-2
4.5%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.8%
56.1%
Win probability
1.72
Expected goals
0-1
12.3%
1-2
9.7%
2-3
2.6%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
24.9%
0-2
10.5%
1-3
5.6%
2-4
1.1%
3-5
0.1%
-2
17.3%
0-3
6%
1-4
2.4%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
8.8%
0-4
2.6%
1-5
0.8%
2-6
0.1%
-4
3.5%
0-5
0.9%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
1.1%
0-6
0.3%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.3%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-1%
+25%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Arras
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Apr. 2019 |
FEI
0 - 0
ARR
48%
25%
28%
|
38 | 42 | 4 | 0 |
| 13 Apr. 2019 |
ARR
1 - 1
LEN
23%
23%
53%
|
38 | 47 | 9 | 0 |
| 06 Apr. 2019 |
SED
1 - 0
ARR
77%
15%
8%
|
38 | 51 | 13 | 0 |
| 23 Mar. 2019 |
ARR
1 - 1
BEL
36%
26%
39%
|
38 | 44 | 6 | 0 |
| 16 Mar. 2019 |
STG
4 - 2
ARR
58%
22%
20%
|
39 | 47 | 8 | -1 |
Matches
Lusitanos de Saint-Maur
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Apr. 2019 |
SML
2 - 0
REI
47%
25%
28%
|
48 | 47 | 1 | 0 |
| 13 Apr. 2019 |
FLE
2 - 1
SML
39%
26%
35%
|
49 | 48 | 1 | -1 |
| 06 Apr. 2019 |
SML
3 - 0
FCS
57%
24%
19%
|
48 | 45 | 3 | +1 |
| 23 Mar. 2019 |
LIL
2 - 1
SML
45%
25%
30%
|
49 | 49 | 0 | -1 |
| 16 Mar. 2019 |
SML
4 - 1
IRI
51%
25%
25%
|
49 | 46 | 3 | 0 |