Arras vs Lens II analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
58%
Win probability
1.97
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.2%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.7%
4-0
3%
5-1
1.3%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.5%
3-0
6%
4-1
3.2%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
10%
2-0
9.1%
3-1
6.5%
4-2
1.8%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
17.7%
1-0
9.2%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.5%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.4%
21.6%
Draw
0-0
4.7%
1-1
10.1%
2-2
5.4%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
21.6%
20.4%
Win probability
1.09
Expected goals
0-1
5.1%
1-2
5.5%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
12.9%
0-2
2.8%
1-3
2%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
5.4%
0-3
1%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.7%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-1%
-35%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Arras
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Aug. 2017 |
REI
3 - 3
ARR
30%
25%
46%
|
50 | 44 | 6 | 0 |
| 19 Aug. 2017 |
ARR
0 - 0
IRI
58%
22%
20%
|
50 | 45 | 5 | 0 |
| 12 Aug. 2017 |
SML
2 - 2
ARR
45%
25%
30%
|
50 | 51 | 1 | 0 |
| 20 May. 2017 |
VCH
2 - 2
ARR
36%
26%
38%
|
49 | 48 | 1 | +1 |
| 13 May. 2017 |
ARR
3 - 0
LEH
61%
21%
17%
|
49 | 44 | 5 | 0 |
Matches
Lens II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Aug. 2017 |
LEN
1 - 2
FLE
23%
27%
50%
|
45 | 55 | 10 | 0 |
| 19 Aug. 2017 |
POI
3 - 2
LEN
40%
25%
36%
|
45 | 44 | 1 | 0 |
| 12 Aug. 2017 |
LEN
0 - 1
AAC
53%
25%
22%
|
46 | 43 | 3 | -1 |
| 20 May. 2017 |
LEH
2 - 2
LEN
37%
25%
38%
|
46 | 42 | 4 | 0 |
| 13 May. 2017 |
LEN
1 - 1
CAL
63%
22%
15%
|
46 | 38 | 8 | 0 |