Arras vs Lens II analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
47.4%
Win probability
1.68
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.8%
4-0
1.8%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.6%
3-0
4.2%
4-1
2.2%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
6.9%
2-0
7.5%
3-1
5.3%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
14.4%
1-0
9%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
3.3%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.3%
24%
Draw
0-0
5.4%
1-1
11.2%
2-2
5.9%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24%
28.6%
Win probability
1.25
Expected goals
0-1
6.7%
1-2
7%
2-3
2.5%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
16.6%
0-2
4.2%
1-3
2.9%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
8%
0-3
1.7%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.9%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.8%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-1%
-31%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Arras
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Aug. 2016 |
ARR
2 - 0
ESW
57%
23%
20%
|
46 | 43 | 3 | 0 |
| 20 Aug. 2016 |
SML
1 - 0
ARR
40%
25%
35%
|
47 | 45 | 2 | -1 |
| 13 Aug. 2016 |
ARR
0 - 0
VCH
57%
23%
20%
|
47 | 45 | 2 | 0 |
| 04 Jun. 2016 |
ARR
2 - 0
MAN
58%
23%
20%
|
46 | 43 | 3 | +1 |
| 28 May. 2016 |
ROY
1 - 1
ARR
28%
25%
47%
|
46 | 38 | 8 | 0 |
Matches
Lens II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Aug. 2016 |
LEN
1 - 3
SML
44%
26%
31%
|
47 | 46 | 1 | 0 |
| 20 Aug. 2016 |
VCH
0 - 1
LEN
36%
26%
39%
|
46 | 45 | 1 | +1 |
| 13 Aug. 2016 |
LEN
1 - 0
LEH
45%
26%
28%
|
45 | 44 | 1 | +1 |
| 04 Jun. 2016 |
DIE
0 - 1
LEN
42%
26%
33%
|
44 | 46 | 2 | +1 |
| 28 May. 2016 |
LEN
3 - 1
AUB
48%
26%
26%
|
43 | 40 | 3 | +1 |