Arras vs Ivry analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
40%
Win probability
1.27
Expected goals
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.3%
4-0
1%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.3%
3-0
3.2%
4-1
1.1%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.4%
2-0
7.4%
3-1
3.5%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
+2
11.6%
1-0
11.7%
2-1
8.3%
3-2
1.9%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.2%
27.7%
Draw
0-0
9.2%
1-1
13%
2-2
4.6%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
27.7%
32.3%
Win probability
1.11
Expected goals
0-1
10.3%
1-2
7.3%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
19.4%
0-2
5.7%
1-3
2.7%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0%
-2
8.9%
0-3
2.1%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.1%
-3
3%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.8%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-1%
+24%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Arras
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Mar. 2009 |
LSC
0 - 4
ARR
51%
25%
25%
|
37 | 39 | 2 | 0 |
| 14 Mar. 2009 |
ARR
1 - 1
DRA
30%
27%
43%
|
36 | 45 | 9 | +1 |
| 08 Mar. 2009 |
FEI
3 - 1
ARR
61%
22%
17%
|
37 | 44 | 7 | -1 |
| 28 Feb. 2009 |
ARR
2 - 1
LES
45%
26%
29%
|
36 | 38 | 2 | +1 |
| 21 Feb. 2009 |
ARR
0 - 1
LIL
47%
25%
28%
|
37 | 37 | 0 | -1 |
Matches
Ivry
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Mar. 2009 |
IVR
4 - 0
AVI
57%
24%
20%
|
43 | 35 | 8 | 0 |
| 15 Mar. 2009 |
SED
0 - 0
IVR
51%
25%
24%
|
43 | 43 | 0 | 0 |
| 07 Mar. 2009 |
IVR
3 - 1
REI
36%
26%
38%
|
41 | 44 | 3 | +2 |
| 28 Feb. 2009 |
IVR
1 - 0
LIL
50%
25%
25%
|
40 | 37 | 3 | +1 |
| 22 Feb. 2009 |
VAL
1 - 1
IVR
39%
26%
35%
|
41 | 33 | 8 | -1 |