Arras vs Grande-Synthe analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
51.9%
Win probability
1.89
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.4%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.2%
4-0
2.3%
5-1
1.1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.6%
3-0
4.8%
4-1
2.9%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
8.4%
2-0
7.6%
3-1
6.1%
4-2
1.8%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
15.8%
1-0
8%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
3.8%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.4%
22.5%
Draw
0-0
4.3%
1-1
10.2%
2-2
6.1%
3-3
1.6%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
22.4%
25.7%
Win probability
1.27
Expected goals
0-1
5.4%
1-2
6.5%
2-3
2.6%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
15%
0-2
3.4%
1-3
2.7%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
7.1%
0-3
1.4%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.6%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Arras
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Feb. 2020 |
VAL
3 - 1
ARR
34%
23%
43%
|
30 | 26 | 4 | 0 |
| 23 Feb. 2020 |
VIM
0 - 0
ARR
32%
21%
47%
|
31 | 26 | 5 | -1 |
| 25 Jan. 2020 |
ARR
0 - 2
USM
62%
19%
19%
|
32 | 30 | 2 | -1 |
| 18 Jan. 2020 |
MAR
1 - 1
ARR
45%
22%
33%
|
32 | 33 | 1 | 0 |
| 30 Nov. 2019 |
AAC
1 - 1
ARR
39%
24%
38%
|
32 | 31 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
Grande-Synthe
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Feb. 2020 |
GRA
0 - 0
FEI
29%
25%
46%
|
30 | 37 | 7 | 0 |
| 23 Feb. 2020 |
AMI
0 - 0
GRA
46%
24%
31%
|
30 | 28 | 2 | 0 |
| 01 Feb. 2020 |
GRA
1 - 1
USM
46%
24%
31%
|
30 | 31 | 1 | 0 |
| 25 Jan. 2020 |
GRA
3 - 2
VAL
49%
24%
27%
|
29 | 28 | 1 | +1 |
| 19 Jan. 2020 |
VIM
2 - 2
GRA
41%
23%
36%
|
29 | 26 | 3 | 0 |