Arras vs Grande-Synthe analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
54.3%
Win probability
1.82
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.2%
4-0
2.5%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.6%
3-0
5.4%
4-1
2.7%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
8.7%
2-0
9%
3-1
5.9%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
16.6%
1-0
9.9%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
3.3%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.6%
23%
Draw
0-0
5.5%
1-1
10.8%
2-2
5.4%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
23%
22.7%
Win probability
1.09
Expected goals
0-1
6%
1-2
5.9%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
14.2%
0-2
3.3%
1-3
2.2%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
6%
0-3
1.2%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.9%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Arras
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Aug. 2013 |
OIS
0 - 0
ARR
42%
27%
32%
|
39 | 37 | 2 | 0 |
| 25 May. 2013 |
FEI
2 - 1
ARR
41%
28%
31%
|
41 | 39 | 2 | -2 |
| 18 May. 2013 |
ARR
1 - 3
CAL
58%
24%
18%
|
42 | 38 | 4 | -1 |
| 11 May. 2013 |
GRA
1 - 0
ARR
39%
27%
34%
|
43 | 40 | 3 | -1 |
| 04 May. 2013 |
ARR
1 - 0
ESW
64%
21%
15%
|
43 | 36 | 7 | 0 |
Matches
Grande-Synthe
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Aug. 2013 |
GRA
1 - 0
NOI
54%
24%
22%
|
37 | 34 | 3 | 0 |
| 25 May. 2013 |
GRA
0 - 1
SED
35%
26%
39%
|
39 | 43 | 4 | -2 |
| 18 May. 2013 |
AMI
3 - 1
GRA
38%
25%
36%
|
41 | 34 | 7 | -2 |
| 11 May. 2013 |
GRA
1 - 0
ARR
39%
27%
34%
|
40 | 43 | 3 | +1 |
| 04 May. 2013 |
CAL
3 - 3
GRA
46%
25%
29%
|
40 | 36 | 4 | 0 |