Arras vs US Fleury-Merogis analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
44.3%
Win probability
1.46
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.4%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.9%
3-0
3.8%
4-1
1.6%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.7%
2-0
7.9%
3-1
4.4%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
13.3%
1-0
10.8%
2-1
9%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.7%
26%
Draw
0-0
7.4%
1-1
12.4%
2-2
5.2%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
26%
29.7%
Win probability
1.14
Expected goals
0-1
8.5%
1-2
7.1%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
17.8%
0-2
4.8%
1-3
2.7%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
8.2%
0-3
1.8%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2.8%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-1%
-4%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Arras
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 May. 2018 |
ARR
3 - 1
SML
47%
25%
29%
|
49 | 50 | 1 | 0 |
| 12 May. 2018 |
ASB
2 - 2
ARR
12%
20%
68%
|
50 | 33 | 17 | -1 |
| 28 Apr. 2018 |
ARR
1 - 0
VCH
62%
21%
17%
|
50 | 44 | 6 | 0 |
| 21 Apr. 2018 |
DRA
4 - 2
ARR
41%
29%
31%
|
50 | 55 | 5 | 0 |
| 14 Apr. 2018 |
ARR
2 - 1
FBB
43%
25%
32%
|
49 | 51 | 2 | +1 |
Matches
US Fleury-Merogis
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 May. 2018 |
FLE
3 - 1
IRI
55%
25%
21%
|
51 | 46 | 5 | 0 |
| 12 May. 2018 |
SML
0 - 4
FLE
46%
26%
28%
|
50 | 51 | 1 | +1 |
| 28 Apr. 2018 |
FLE
2 - 0
ASB
74%
18%
8%
|
50 | 34 | 16 | 0 |
| 21 Apr. 2018 |
VCH
4 - 2
FLE
18%
25%
57%
|
51 | 39 | 12 | -1 |
| 14 Apr. 2018 |
FLE
0 - 1
DRA
40%
29%
31%
|
52 | 54 | 2 | -1 |