Arras vs US Fleury-Merogis analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
40.3%
Win probability
1.36
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1.1%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.5%
3-0
3.2%
4-1
1.3%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.8%
2-0
7.1%
3-1
3.9%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
11.8%
1-0
10.4%
2-1
8.6%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.7%
26.5%
Draw
0-0
7.7%
1-1
12.6%
2-2
5.2%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.5%
33.2%
Win probability
1.21
Expected goals
0-1
9.3%
1-2
7.6%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
19.3%
0-2
5.6%
1-3
3.1%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
9.4%
0-3
2.3%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.3%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.9%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-1%
+21%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Arras
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Apr. 2017 |
ARR
0 - 1
POI
56%
23%
22%
|
49 | 45 | 4 | 0 |
| 25 Mar. 2017 |
LIL
2 - 2
ARR
28%
25%
47%
|
49 | 42 | 7 | 0 |
| 22 Mar. 2017 |
AAC
1 - 0
ARR
20%
24%
56%
|
50 | 40 | 10 | -1 |
| 18 Mar. 2017 |
ARR
2 - 1
IRI
54%
23%
23%
|
49 | 46 | 3 | +1 |
| 15 Mar. 2017 |
LEN
0 - 3
ARR
27%
26%
48%
|
48 | 43 | 5 | +1 |
Matches
US Fleury-Merogis
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Mar. 2017 |
FLE
1 - 0
SML
41%
27%
32%
|
52 | 52 | 0 | 0 |
| 22 Mar. 2017 |
FLE
2 - 0
BOU
51%
25%
24%
|
51 | 48 | 3 | +1 |
| 18 Mar. 2017 |
VCH
2 - 0
FLE
25%
27%
48%
|
52 | 43 | 9 | -1 |
| 11 Mar. 2017 |
FLE
0 - 1
LEH
58%
24%
19%
|
52 | 45 | 7 | 0 |
| 04 Mar. 2017 |
CAL
0 - 2
FLE
29%
27%
45%
|
52 | 42 | 10 | 0 |