Arras vs US Fleury-Merogis analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
51.8%
Win probability
1.78
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.1%
4-0
2.2%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.3%
3-0
5%
4-1
2.6%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
8.1%
2-0
8.4%
3-1
5.8%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
15.8%
1-0
9.4%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
3.3%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.1%
23.3%
Draw
0-0
5.3%
1-1
10.9%
2-2
5.6%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
23.3%
24.8%
Win probability
1.16
Expected goals
0-1
6.1%
1-2
6.3%
2-3
2.2%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
15.1%
0-2
3.6%
1-3
2.5%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
6.7%
0-3
1.4%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2.3%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-1%
+12%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Arras
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Apr. 2012 |
CRE
0 - 1
ARR
34%
26%
39%
|
39 | 29 | 10 | 0 |
| 14 Apr. 2012 |
ARR
5 - 0
SEZ
61%
21%
18%
|
38 | 30 | 8 | +1 |
| 11 Apr. 2012 |
ARR
0 - 2
SED
40%
26%
34%
|
39 | 40 | 1 | -1 |
| 07 Apr. 2012 |
PAR
0 - 1
ARR
47%
24%
29%
|
39 | 36 | 3 | 0 |
| 31 Mar. 2012 |
FRE
1 - 1
ARR
42%
25%
33%
|
39 | 35 | 4 | 0 |
Matches
US Fleury-Merogis
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Apr. 2012 |
FLE
1 - 1
IRI
52%
23%
25%
|
37 | 36 | 1 | 0 |
| 15 Apr. 2012 |
RAC
1 - 1
FLE
57%
22%
21%
|
37 | 40 | 3 | 0 |
| 07 Apr. 2012 |
ESW
0 - 0
FLE
52%
23%
25%
|
37 | 37 | 0 | 0 |
| 01 Apr. 2012 |
FLE
3 - 0
SAI
81%
13%
6%
|
37 | 20 | 17 | 0 |
| 24 Mar. 2012 |
SED
2 - 0
FLE
47%
24%
30%
|
38 | 38 | 0 | -1 |