Arras vs Les Lilas analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
64.3%
Win probability
1.92
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.6%
5-0
1.5%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.9%
4-0
3.8%
5-1
1.1%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.1%
3-0
7.9%
4-1
3%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
11.4%
2-0
12.4%
3-1
6.2%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
+2
19.8%
1-0
12.9%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.3%
21.2%
Draw
0-0
6.7%
1-1
10.1%
2-2
3.8%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
21.2%
14.5%
Win probability
0.78
Expected goals
0-1
5.2%
1-2
3.9%
2-3
1%
3-4
0.1%
-1
10.3%
0-2
2%
1-3
1%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3.3%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.8%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Arras
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Apr. 2011 |
LES
0 - 0
ARR
34%
27%
39%
|
42 | 36 | 6 | 0 |
| 26 Mar. 2011 |
ARR
2 - 2
ROY
49%
27%
25%
|
42 | 39 | 3 | 0 |
| 19 Mar. 2011 |
FEI
1 - 1
ARR
41%
28%
32%
|
43 | 40 | 3 | -1 |
| 12 Mar. 2011 |
ARR
0 - 0
RAC
35%
28%
37%
|
43 | 46 | 3 | 0 |
| 05 Mar. 2011 |
STG
0 - 1
ARR
45%
27%
29%
|
42 | 40 | 2 | +1 |
Matches
Les Lilas
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Apr. 2011 |
LIL
0 - 1
ROY
31%
27%
42%
|
31 | 39 | 8 | 0 |
| 26 Mar. 2011 |
RAC
3 - 0
LIL
70%
19%
12%
|
32 | 47 | 15 | -1 |
| 19 Mar. 2011 |
LIL
2 - 4
REI
38%
25%
37%
|
34 | 37 | 3 | -2 |
| 13 Mar. 2011 |
VAL
1 - 2
LIL
53%
24%
23%
|
33 | 38 | 5 | +1 |
| 05 Mar. 2011 |
LIL
1 - 1
ESW
34%
29%
38%
|
33 | 41 | 8 | 0 |