Arras vs Calais analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
25.7%
Win probability
0.96
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.3%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.4%
3-0
1.4%
4-1
0.5%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1.9%
2-0
4.3%
3-1
1.9%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
6.6%
1-0
9%
2-1
6.1%
3-2
1.4%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
16.6%
27%
Draw
0-0
9.4%
1-1
12.7%
2-2
4.3%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
27%
47.3%
Win probability
1.41
Expected goals
0-1
13.2%
1-2
8.9%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
24.4%
0-2
9.3%
1-3
4.2%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
14.2%
0-3
4.3%
1-4
1.5%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
6%
0-4
1.5%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0%
-4
2%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.5%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Arras
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Aug. 2010 |
VAL
3 - 0
ARR
38%
27%
35%
|
40 | 35 | 5 | 0 |
| 29 May. 2010 |
SED
0 - 0
ARR
48%
26%
26%
|
41 | 40 | 1 | -1 |
| 22 May. 2010 |
ARR
1 - 0
SAI
66%
21%
13%
|
41 | 31 | 10 | 0 |
| 15 May. 2010 |
FEI
0 - 0
ARR
51%
25%
24%
|
41 | 41 | 0 | 0 |
| 08 May. 2010 |
ARR
1 - 1
AVI
46%
26%
28%
|
41 | 40 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
Calais
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Aug. 2010 |
DOU
2 - 4
CAL
17%
25%
58%
|
52 | 19 | 33 | 0 |
| 29 May. 2010 |
CAL
3 - 0
PAC
72%
18%
10%
|
53 | 36 | 17 | -1 |
| 22 May. 2010 |
EVR
1 - 0
CAL
22%
27%
52%
|
53 | 35 | 18 | 0 |
| 15 May. 2010 |
CAL
2 - 0
GRA
77%
16%
7%
|
53 | 33 | 20 | 0 |
| 08 May. 2010 |
OIS
2 - 1
CAL
22%
27%
51%
|
54 | 37 | 17 | -1 |