Arras vs Caen II analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
52.9%
Win probability
1.71
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1%
4-0
2.3%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.2%
3-0
5.3%
4-1
2.4%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
8.1%
2-0
9.3%
3-1
5.5%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
16.2%
1-0
10.9%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24%
24%
Draw
0-0
6.4%
1-1
11.4%
2-2
5.1%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
24%
23.1%
Win probability
1.04
Expected goals
0-1
6.7%
1-2
5.9%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
14.6%
0-2
3.5%
1-3
2.1%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
6.1%
0-3
1.2%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.8%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-1%
-37%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Arras
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Nov. 2013 |
UJA
0 - 0
ARR
36%
26%
38%
|
43 | 37 | 6 | 0 |
| 23 Nov. 2013 |
ARR
1 - 1
CAL
61%
23%
16%
|
43 | 37 | 6 | 0 |
| 10 Nov. 2013 |
QUE
4 - 5
ARR
25%
24%
51%
|
42 | 27 | 15 | +1 |
| 02 Nov. 2013 |
ARR
3 - 1
BAS
42%
25%
33%
|
41 | 41 | 0 | +1 |
| 19 Oct. 2013 |
SAI
1 - 3
ARR
32%
25%
43%
|
40 | 30 | 10 | +1 |
Matches
Caen II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Nov. 2013 |
CAE
0 - 3
NOI
75%
16%
9%
|
40 | 30 | 10 | 0 |
| 23 Nov. 2013 |
MAR
2 - 2
CAE
23%
25%
52%
|
40 | 29 | 11 | 0 |
| 16 Nov. 2013 |
CAE
2 - 1
AMI
70%
18%
12%
|
40 | 33 | 7 | 0 |
| 02 Nov. 2013 |
GRA
1 - 1
CAE
29%
25%
46%
|
40 | 33 | 7 | 0 |
| 19 Oct. 2013 |
CAE
1 - 2
OIS
67%
19%
14%
|
41 | 35 | 6 | -1 |