Arras vs Ailly Sur Somme analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
78.7%
Win probability
2.61
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.6%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.8%
6-0
1.6%
7-1
0.4%
8-2
<0%
+6
2.1%
5-0
3.8%
6-1
1.1%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
5%
4-0
7.2%
5-1
2.6%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
<0%
+4
10.2%
3-0
11%
4-1
4.9%
5-2
0.9%
6-3
0.1%
+3
16.9%
2-0
12.7%
3-1
7.5%
4-2
1.7%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
22.1%
1-0
9.7%
2-1
8.6%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.3%
13.9%
Draw
0-0
3.7%
1-1
6.6%
2-2
2.9%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
13.9%
7.4%
Win probability
0.68
Expected goals
0-1
2.5%
1-2
2.2%
2-3
0.7%
3-4
0.1%
-1
5.5%
0-2
0.9%
1-3
0.5%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
1.5%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.3%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Arras
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Feb. 2013 |
ARR
2 - 0
GRA
60%
22%
18%
|
39 | 34 | 5 | 0 |
| 23 Feb. 2013 |
IRI
1 - 2
ARR
62%
22%
16%
|
38 | 43 | 5 | +1 |
| 16 Feb. 2013 |
CAL
2 - 0
ARR
46%
26%
28%
|
39 | 37 | 2 | -1 |
| 02 Feb. 2013 |
AMI
2 - 0
ARR
52%
25%
23%
|
40 | 41 | 1 | -1 |
| 12 Jan. 2013 |
ARR
3 - 0
GRA
51%
24%
25%
|
38 | 39 | 1 | +2 |
Matches
Ailly Sur Somme
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Feb. 2013 |
AIL
1 - 1
CAL
19%
24%
57%
|
18 | 38 | 20 | 0 |
| 09 Feb. 2013 |
GRA
2 - 1
AIL
76%
16%
9%
|
18 | 38 | 20 | 0 |
| 12 Jan. 2013 |
AIL
1 - 3
BOU
18%
21%
61%
|
19 | 32 | 13 | -1 |
| 16 Dec. 2012 |
AUL
1 - 1
AIL
76%
15%
9%
|
19 | 31 | 12 | 0 |
| 01 Dec. 2012 |
AIL
1 - 2
GRA
22%
24%
55%
|
19 | 33 | 14 | 0 |