Arras U19 vs Caen U19 analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
23.1%
Win probability
1.24
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.4%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.6%
3-0
1.2%
4-1
0.8%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
2.2%
2-0
2.9%
3-1
2.5%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
6.3%
1-0
4.8%
2-1
6%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
13.8%
21.5%
Draw
0-0
3.9%
1-1
9.6%
2-2
6%
3-3
1.7%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
21.5%
55.5%
Win probability
2.02
Expected goals
0-1
7.8%
1-2
9.7%
2-3
4%
3-4
0.8%
4-5
0.1%
-1
22.5%
0-2
7.9%
1-3
6.5%
2-4
2%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
16.8%
0-3
5.3%
1-4
3.3%
2-5
0.8%
3-6
0.1%
4-7
0%
-3
9.5%
0-4
2.7%
1-5
1.3%
2-6
0.3%
3-7
0%
-4
4.3%
0-5
1.1%
1-6
0.4%
2-7
0.1%
-5
1.6%
0-6
0.4%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.5%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Arras U19
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Mar. 2015 |
QUE
6 - 2
ARR
34%
22%
44%
|
26 | 22 | 4 | 0 |
| 22 Feb. 2015 |
ARR
2 - 2
LEN
19%
20%
62%
|
25 | 42 | 17 | +1 |
| 15 Feb. 2015 |
LIL
5 - 3
ARR
83%
11%
6%
|
25 | 46 | 21 | 0 |
| 01 Feb. 2015 |
ARR
3 - 2
PSG
12%
17%
71%
|
21 | 46 | 25 | +4 |
| 25 Jan. 2015 |
SAI
0 - 5
ARR
27%
21%
52%
|
21 | 16 | 5 | 0 |
Matches
Caen U19
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Mar. 2015 |
AMI
2 - 1
CAE
51%
22%
27%
|
39 | 39 | 0 | 0 |
| 22 Feb. 2015 |
CAE
5 - 1
QUE
83%
11%
7%
|
39 | 22 | 17 | 0 |
| 15 Feb. 2015 |
LEN
1 - 1
CAE
56%
22%
22%
|
39 | 42 | 3 | 0 |
| 01 Feb. 2015 |
CAE
1 - 2
LIL
39%
23%
38%
|
39 | 45 | 6 | 0 |
| 25 Jan. 2015 |
PSG
2 - 1
CAE
62%
20%
18%
|
41 | 47 | 6 | -2 |