Arras U19 vs Caen U19 analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
17.7%
Win probability
0.98
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.3%
3-0
0.8%
4-1
0.4%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1.3%
2-0
2.4%
3-1
1.6%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
0.1%
+2
4.4%
1-0
4.9%
2-1
4.9%
3-2
1.6%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
11.7%
21%
Draw
0-0
5%
1-1
9.9%
2-2
4.9%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
21%
61.3%
Win probability
2.01
Expected goals
0-1
10.1%
1-2
10%
2-3
3.3%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
23.9%
0-2
10.1%
1-3
6.7%
2-4
1.7%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
18.7%
0-3
6.8%
1-4
3.4%
2-5
0.7%
3-6
0.1%
-3
10.9%
0-4
3.4%
1-5
1.4%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
5%
0-5
1.4%
1-6
0.5%
2-7
0.1%
-5
1.9%
0-6
0.5%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.6%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.2%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Arras U19
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Nov. 2013 |
AVR
7 - 3
ARR
59%
21%
20%
|
21 | 25 | 4 | 0 |
| 20 Oct. 2013 |
ARR
0 - 4
LEN
14%
20%
65%
|
22 | 46 | 24 | -1 |
| 06 Oct. 2013 |
ARR
2 - 0
RAC
55%
21%
24%
|
21 | 20 | 1 | +1 |
| 29 Sep. 2013 |
DRA
1 - 3
ARR
72%
17%
11%
|
20 | 31 | 11 | +1 |
| 22 Sep. 2013 |
ARR
1 - 1
AMI
45%
23%
32%
|
20 | 21 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
Caen U19
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Nov. 2013 |
CAE
3 - 2
DRA
62%
20%
19%
|
35 | 30 | 5 | 0 |
| 20 Oct. 2013 |
AMI
0 - 2
CAE
19%
22%
60%
|
34 | 20 | 14 | +1 |
| 06 Oct. 2013 |
CAE
1 - 2
PSG
33%
25%
42%
|
36 | 45 | 9 | -2 |
| 29 Sep. 2013 |
PAR
1 - 0
CAE
27%
24%
49%
|
37 | 28 | 9 | -1 |
| 22 Sep. 2013 |
CAE
1 - 2
AMI
43%
22%
35%
|
38 | 40 | 2 | -1 |