CEAC / Araruama vs Pérolas Negras analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
36.4%
Win probability
1.45
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.4%
3-0
2.6%
4-1
1.4%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.4%
2-0
5.4%
3-1
4%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
10.7%
1-0
7.5%
2-1
8.2%
3-2
3%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
19.3%
24.5%
Draw
0-0
5.2%
1-1
11.3%
2-2
6.2%
3-3
1.5%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.5%
39.2%
Win probability
1.51
Expected goals
0-1
7.8%
1-2
8.6%
2-3
3.1%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
20.2%
0-2
5.9%
1-3
4.3%
2-4
1.2%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
11.6%
0-3
3%
1-4
1.6%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
5%
0-4
1.1%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.7%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.5%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+25%
+7%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
CEAC / Araruama
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Nov. 2022 |
PER
1 - 2
ADC
48%
24%
29%
|
43 | 47 | 4 | 0 |
| 11 Nov. 2022 |
ADC
1 - 1
DUQ
47%
24%
29%
|
43 | 41 | 2 | 0 |
| 05 Nov. 2022 |
DUQ
0 - 0
ADC
33%
24%
43%
|
43 | 41 | 2 | 0 |
| 26 Oct. 2022 |
RIO
0 - 7
ADC
20%
20%
61%
|
42 | 28 | 14 | +1 |
| 22 Oct. 2022 |
ADC
2 - 0
PER
27%
24%
50%
|
40 | 46 | 6 | +2 |
Matches
Pérolas Negras
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Nov. 2022 |
PER
1 - 2
ADC
48%
24%
29%
|
47 | 43 | 4 | 0 |
| 12 Nov. 2022 |
SFC
0 - 1
PER
26%
24%
50%
|
46 | 41 | 5 | +1 |
| 05 Nov. 2022 |
PER
1 - 0
SFC
50%
24%
26%
|
46 | 42 | 4 | 0 |
| 26 Oct. 2022 |
PER
2 - 0
SFC
45%
24%
31%
|
45 | 44 | 1 | +1 |
| 22 Oct. 2022 |
ADC
2 - 0
PER
27%
24%
50%
|
46 | 40 | 6 | -1 |