CEAC / Araruama vs Duque de Caxias analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
31%
Win probability
1.15
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.6%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.8%
3-0
2%
4-1
0.8%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
2.9%
2-0
5.2%
3-1
2.8%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
+2
8.6%
1-0
9%
2-1
7.2%
3-2
1.9%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
18.5%
26.5%
Draw
0-0
7.9%
1-1
12.6%
2-2
5%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.5%
42.5%
Win probability
1.39
Expected goals
0-1
10.9%
1-2
8.8%
2-3
2.3%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
22.4%
0-2
7.6%
1-3
4.1%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
12.6%
0-3
3.5%
1-4
1.4%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
5.2%
0-4
1.2%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.7%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+15%
-19%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
CEAC / Araruama
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Jun. 2025 |
OLA
0 - 1
ADC
63%
21%
16%
|
39 | 54 | 15 | 0 |
| 09 Jun. 2025 |
ADC
0 - 1
BAN
31%
25%
44%
|
40 | 44 | 4 | -1 |
| 04 Jun. 2025 |
PET
1 - 1
ADC
49%
25%
27%
|
40 | 46 | 6 | 0 |
| 31 May. 2025 |
ADC
0 - 2
RES
26%
24%
50%
|
41 | 48 | 7 | -1 |
| 25 May. 2025 |
CAB
1 - 1
ADC
48%
24%
28%
|
41 | 46 | 5 | 0 |
Matches
Duque de Caxias
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Jun. 2025 |
DUQ
1 - 1
AME
34%
27%
39%
|
45 | 49 | 4 | 0 |
| 07 Jun. 2025 |
AUD
2 - 1
DUQ
51%
26%
23%
|
46 | 49 | 3 | -1 |
| 04 Jun. 2025 |
DUQ
0 - 2
SAO
43%
26%
32%
|
47 | 46 | 1 | -1 |
| 31 May. 2025 |
DUQ
3 - 2
OLA
24%
26%
50%
|
46 | 55 | 9 | +1 |
| 25 May. 2025 |
BAN
0 - 1
DUQ
45%
26%
29%
|
46 | 45 | 1 | 0 |