Arrabaldo vs Leiro analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
83.4%
Win probability
3.2
Expected goals
10-0
0.1%
+10
0.1%
9-0
0.2%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.2%
8-0
0.5%
9-1
0.1%
10-2
<0%
+8
0.7%
7-0
1.2%
8-1
0.4%
9-2
0.1%
+7
1.7%
6-0
2.7%
7-1
1%
8-2
0.2%
9-3
<0%
+6
3.9%
5-0
5.1%
6-1
2.2%
7-2
0.4%
8-3
<0%
+5
7.7%
4-0
8%
5-1
4.1%
6-2
0.9%
7-3
0.1%
+4
13.1%
3-0
10%
4-1
6.4%
5-2
1.6%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
18.3%
2-0
9.4%
3-1
8%
4-2
2.6%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.4%
1-0
5.9%
2-1
7.5%
3-2
3.2%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
17.4%
10.6%
Draw
0-0
1.8%
1-1
4.7%
2-2
3%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
10.6%
6%
Win probability
0.8
Expected goals
0-1
1.5%
1-2
1.9%
2-3
0.8%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
4.4%
0-2
0.6%
1-3
0.5%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
1.3%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.3%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Arrabaldo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Jan. 2016 |
ARR
6 - 3
COV
66%
17%
17%
|
15 | 12 | 3 | 0 |
| 20 Dec. 2015 |
CAL
0 - 3
ARR
32%
22%
46%
|
14 | 11 | 3 | +1 |
| 13 Dec. 2015 |
COL
0 - 3
ARR
19%
20%
62%
|
14 | 7 | 7 | 0 |
| 06 Dec. 2015 |
ARR
3 - 2
RIB
58%
19%
23%
|
13 | 11 | 2 | +1 |
| 28 Nov. 2015 |
PON
1 - 3
ARR
56%
20%
25%
|
12 | 12 | 0 | +1 |
Matches
Leiro
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Jan. 2016 |
COL
2 - 5
LEI
50%
22%
29%
|
7 | 7 | 0 | 0 |
| 20 Dec. 2015 |
LEI
1 - 2
RIB
30%
21%
48%
|
8 | 11 | 3 | -1 |
| 13 Dec. 2015 |
PON
1 - 0
LEI
63%
18%
19%
|
9 | 10 | 1 | -1 |
| 06 Dec. 2015 |
LEI
1 - 6
UDO
13%
17%
70%
|
10 | 16 | 6 | -1 |
| 29 Nov. 2015 |
AMO
3 - 3
LEI
67%
18%
15%
|
9 | 13 | 4 | +1 |