Arouca vs Sporting CP II analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
52.8%
Win probability
1.65
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.9%
4-0
2.2%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3%
3-0
5.4%
4-1
2.2%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
7.9%
2-0
9.8%
3-1
5.3%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
16.2%
1-0
11.9%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.4%
24.6%
Draw
0-0
7.2%
1-1
11.7%
2-2
4.7%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.6%
22.6%
Win probability
0.98
Expected goals
0-1
7.1%
1-2
5.7%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
14.6%
0-2
3.5%
1-3
1.9%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
5.8%
0-3
1.1%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.7%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-8%
+43%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Arouca
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Sep. 2017 |
VAR
0 - 0
ARO
29%
29%
42%
|
68 | 60 | 8 | 0 |
| 10 Sep. 2017 |
ARO
0 - 0
BRA
60%
24%
17%
|
67 | 60 | 7 | +1 |
| 27 Aug. 2017 |
REA
0 - 1
ARO
28%
28%
44%
|
67 | 58 | 9 | 0 |
| 23 Aug. 2017 |
ARO
0 - 0
ACV
60%
23%
17%
|
67 | 60 | 7 | 0 |
| 19 Aug. 2017 |
COV
3 - 0
ARO
25%
28%
47%
|
69 | 57 | 12 | -2 |
Matches
Sporting CP II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Sep. 2017 |
ACA
4 - 2
SCP
45%
27%
28%
|
62 | 65 | 3 | 0 |
| 10 Sep. 2017 |
SCP
0 - 1
GFC
59%
22%
20%
|
63 | 61 | 2 | -1 |
| 27 Aug. 2017 |
UNM
2 - 2
SCP
52%
25%
23%
|
63 | 67 | 4 | 0 |
| 23 Aug. 2017 |
SCP
2 - 1
COV
62%
21%
18%
|
62 | 59 | 3 | +1 |
| 20 Aug. 2017 |
REA
1 - 2
SCP
35%
27%
38%
|
62 | 59 | 3 | 0 |