Arouca vs Sporting CP II analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
60%
Win probability
1.79
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1.1%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.4%
4-0
3.1%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.1%
+4
4.1%
3-0
6.9%
4-1
2.6%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
9.9%
2-0
11.6%
3-1
5.8%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
18.6%
1-0
13%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.4%
22.9%
Draw
0-0
7.3%
1-1
10.8%
2-2
4%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
22.9%
17.1%
Win probability
0.83
Expected goals
0-1
6.1%
1-2
4.5%
2-3
1.1%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
11.9%
0-2
2.5%
1-3
1.3%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
4%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
1%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-9%
+44%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Arouca
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Sep. 2012 |
VSC
1 - 1
ARO
27%
27%
46%
|
66 | 55 | 11 | 0 |
| 26 Aug. 2012 |
ARO
2 - 1
OLI
54%
25%
21%
|
65 | 64 | 1 | +1 |
| 22 Aug. 2012 |
PEN
0 - 3
ARO
38%
29%
34%
|
64 | 62 | 2 | +1 |
| 19 Aug. 2012 |
ARO
1 - 1
AVE
44%
29%
27%
|
64 | 70 | 6 | 0 |
| 12 Aug. 2012 |
POR
1 - 3
ARO
50%
26%
25%
|
63 | 63 | 0 | +1 |
Matches
Sporting CP II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Sep. 2012 |
SCP
3 - 2
MAR
66%
20%
14%
|
59 | 50 | 9 | 0 |
| 26 Aug. 2012 |
ATL
1 - 3
SCP
48%
28%
24%
|
58 | 60 | 2 | +1 |
| 22 Aug. 2012 |
SCP
2 - 1
SPC
46%
28%
26%
|
58 | 60 | 2 | 0 |
| 18 Aug. 2012 |
SCP
1 - 0
VSC
52%
24%
24%
|
57 | 55 | 2 | +1 |
| 11 Aug. 2012 |
OLI
1 - 0
SCP
60%
23%
17%
|
57 | 64 | 7 | 0 |