Arouca vs Sporting Braga analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
14%
Win probability
0.75
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.1%
3-0
0.5%
4-1
0.2%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.7%
2-0
2%
3-1
0.9%
4-2
0.2%
5-3
<0%
+2
3.1%
1-0
5.2%
2-1
3.8%
3-2
0.9%
4-3
0.1%
+1
10%
21.2%
Draw
0-0
7%
1-1
10%
2-2
3.6%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
21.2%
64.8%
Win probability
1.91
Expected goals
0-1
13.3%
1-2
9.6%
2-3
2.3%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
25.5%
0-2
12.7%
1-3
6.1%
2-4
1.1%
3-5
0.1%
-2
20%
0-3
8.1%
1-4
2.9%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
11.5%
0-4
3.9%
1-5
1.1%
2-6
0.1%
-4
5.1%
0-5
1.5%
1-6
0.4%
2-7
0%
-5
1.9%
0-6
0.5%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.6%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.2%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+1%
+4%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Arouca
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Dec. 2021 |
POR
1 - 1
ARO
46%
27%
27%
|
68 | 70 | 2 | 0 |
| 13 Dec. 2021 |
ARO
1 - 4
VIZ
43%
27%
30%
|
69 | 67 | 2 | -1 |
| 05 Dec. 2021 |
SAN
2 - 1
ARO
50%
26%
24%
|
69 | 73 | 4 | 0 |
| 27 Nov. 2021 |
ARO
2 - 1
BOA
39%
28%
34%
|
69 | 70 | 1 | 0 |
| 05 Nov. 2021 |
GFC
1 - 1
ARO
43%
27%
30%
|
68 | 68 | 0 | +1 |
Matches
Sporting Braga
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Dec. 2021 |
VIZ
1 - 0
SPB
18%
23%
58%
|
84 | 67 | 17 | 0 |
| 19 Dec. 2021 |
SPB
1 - 0
BEL
80%
14%
6%
|
84 | 65 | 19 | 0 |
| 16 Dec. 2021 |
BOA
5 - 1
SPB
12%
19%
69%
|
85 | 69 | 16 | -1 |
| 12 Dec. 2021 |
FCP
1 - 0
SPB
59%
21%
20%
|
85 | 88 | 3 | 0 |
| 09 Dec. 2021 |
SPB
1 - 1
CRV
47%
23%
30%
|
85 | 83 | 2 | 0 |