Arouca vs Benfica analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
9.7%
Win probability
0.64
Expected goals
4-0
<0%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.1%
3-0
0.3%
4-1
0.1%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.4%
2-0
1.3%
3-1
0.6%
4-2
0.1%
+2
1.9%
1-0
4%
2-1
2.7%
3-2
0.6%
4-3
0.1%
+1
7.4%
18.1%
Draw
0-0
6.2%
1-1
8.5%
2-2
2.9%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
18.1%
72.2%
Win probability
2.14
Expected goals
0-1
13.3%
1-2
9.1%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
24.7%
0-2
14.2%
1-3
6.5%
2-4
1.1%
3-5
0.1%
-2
21.9%
0-3
10.2%
1-4
3.5%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0%
-3
14.1%
0-4
5.4%
1-5
1.5%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
7.1%
0-5
2.3%
1-6
0.5%
2-7
0.1%
-5
2.9%
0-6
0.8%
1-7
0.2%
2-8
0%
-6
1%
0-7
0.3%
1-8
0%
-7
0.3%
0-8
0.1%
1-9
0%
-8
0.1%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-3%
+10%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Arouca
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Oct. 2023 |
ARO
0 - 1
MOR
37%
28%
36%
|
76 | 78 | 2 | 0 |
| 21 Oct. 2023 |
FEL
1 - 3
ARO
9%
18%
74%
|
76 | 49 | 27 | 0 |
| 08 Oct. 2023 |
SCP
2 - 1
ARO
75%
16%
8%
|
76 | 89 | 13 | 0 |
| 01 Oct. 2023 |
ARO
0 - 2
CHA
55%
25%
19%
|
76 | 70 | 6 | 0 |
| 26 Sep. 2023 |
AVE
1 - 2
ARO
5%
12%
83%
|
76 | 36 | 40 | 0 |
Matches
Benfica
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Oct. 2023 |
SLB
1 - 1
CAS
80%
14%
6%
|
89 | 71 | 18 | 0 |
| 24 Oct. 2023 |
SLB
0 - 1
RSO
45%
25%
30%
|
89 | 90 | 1 | 0 |
| 20 Oct. 2023 |
LUS
1 - 4
SLB
2%
9%
90%
|
89 | 39 | 50 | 0 |
| 07 Oct. 2023 |
EST
0 - 1
SLB
13%
20%
67%
|
89 | 69 | 20 | 0 |
| 03 Oct. 2023 |
INT
1 - 0
SLB
80%
13%
7%
|
89 | 96 | 7 | 0 |