Arosa vs UD Paiosaco analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
79%
Win probability
2.65
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.3%
7-0
0.6%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.8%
6-0
1.7%
7-1
0.4%
8-2
0.1%
+6
2.2%
5-0
3.9%
6-1
1.2%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
5.2%
4-0
7.3%
5-1
2.7%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
<0%
+4
10.4%
3-0
11%
4-1
5%
5-2
0.9%
6-3
0.1%
+3
17%
2-0
12.4%
3-1
7.6%
4-2
1.7%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
22%
1-0
9.4%
2-1
8.6%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
21%
13.7%
Draw
0-0
3.5%
1-1
6.5%
2-2
3%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
13.7%
7.3%
Win probability
0.69
Expected goals
0-1
2.4%
1-2
2.2%
2-3
0.7%
3-4
0.1%
-1
5.5%
0-2
0.8%
1-3
0.5%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
1.5%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.3%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-13%
-8%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Arosa
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Sep. 2018 |
SIL
0 - 3
ARO
23%
24%
53%
|
33 | 22 | 11 | 0 |
| 16 Sep. 2018 |
ARO
2 - 3
ALO
63%
20%
17%
|
34 | 30 | 4 | -1 |
| 08 Sep. 2018 |
CEL
0 - 2
ARO
28%
25%
48%
|
34 | 24 | 10 | 0 |
| 02 Sep. 2018 |
ARO
2 - 1
POL
72%
17%
12%
|
34 | 25 | 9 | 0 |
| 25 Aug. 2018 |
OUR
0 - 1
ARO
31%
26%
44%
|
34 | 27 | 7 | 0 |
Matches
UD Paiosaco
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Sep. 2018 |
UPH
1 - 4
COM
15%
21%
64%
|
24 | 39 | 15 | 0 |
| 16 Sep. 2018 |
UPH
1 - 2
BER
20%
24%
57%
|
25 | 39 | 14 | -1 |
| 08 Sep. 2018 |
SIL
0 - 1
UPH
45%
24%
30%
|
25 | 23 | 2 | 0 |
| 02 Sep. 2018 |
UPH
1 - 0
ALO
24%
24%
52%
|
23 | 34 | 11 | +2 |
| 26 Aug. 2018 |
CEL
2 - 1
UPH
54%
23%
24%
|
23 | 24 | 1 | 0 |