Arosa vs Silva SD analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
61.9%
Win probability
2.19
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
<0%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.6%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.8%
5-0
1.5%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
2.3%
4-0
3.5%
5-1
1.7%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.6%
3-0
6.5%
4-1
3.9%
5-2
0.9%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
11.5%
2-0
8.9%
3-1
7.2%
4-2
2.2%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
18.6%
1-0
8.1%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
4%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.8%
19.8%
Draw
0-0
3.7%
1-1
9%
2-2
5.4%
3-3
1.5%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
19.8%
18.2%
Win probability
1.1
Expected goals
0-1
4.1%
1-2
5%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
11.5%
0-2
2.3%
1-3
1.8%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
4.7%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.5%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-13%
-23%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Arosa
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Aug. 2014 |
RCV
4 - 2
ARO
36%
24%
40%
|
29 | 25 | 4 | 0 |
| 11 May. 2014 |
ARO
3 - 2
BET
68%
19%
13%
|
29 | 23 | 6 | 0 |
| 04 May. 2014 |
ASP
2 - 0
ARO
60%
21%
19%
|
30 | 34 | 4 | -1 |
| 27 Apr. 2014 |
ARO
2 - 0
LAR
66%
19%
14%
|
30 | 23 | 7 | 0 |
| 20 Apr. 2014 |
BER
2 - 2
ARO
24%
25%
51%
|
30 | 23 | 7 | 0 |
Matches
Silva SD
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Aug. 2014 |
SIL
2 - 0
BAR
31%
25%
44%
|
21 | 28 | 7 | 0 |
| 18 May. 2014 |
SPO
0 - 1
SIL
32%
25%
43%
|
22 | 19 | 3 | -1 |
| 11 May. 2014 |
SIL
3 - 2
DUM
49%
24%
28%
|
21 | 21 | 0 | +1 |
| 04 May. 2014 |
DUB
2 - 5
SIL
35%
24%
41%
|
20 | 17 | 3 | +1 |
| 27 Apr. 2014 |
SIL
2 - 1
SAN
76%
16%
9%
|
20 | 13 | 7 | 0 |