Arosa vs SD Compostela analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
13.6%
Win probability
0.72
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.1%
3-0
0.5%
4-1
0.2%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.6%
2-0
1.9%
3-1
0.9%
4-2
0.1%
5-3
<0%
+2
3%
1-0
5.4%
2-1
3.6%
3-2
0.8%
4-3
0.1%
+1
9.9%
21.6%
Draw
0-0
7.5%
1-1
10.1%
2-2
3.4%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
21.5%
64.8%
Win probability
1.87
Expected goals
0-1
14.1%
1-2
9.4%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
25.9%
0-2
13.2%
1-3
5.9%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.1%
-2
20.1%
0-3
8.2%
1-4
2.7%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
11.3%
0-4
3.8%
1-5
1%
2-6
0.1%
-4
5%
0-5
1.4%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0%
-5
1.8%
0-6
0.4%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.5%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-9%
-18%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Arosa
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Jan. 2009 |
CER
4 - 1
ARO
67%
20%
14%
|
23 | 32 | 9 | 0 |
| 21 Dec. 2008 |
ARO
1 - 3
NAR
32%
25%
43%
|
24 | 32 | 8 | -1 |
| 14 Dec. 2008 |
ORD
5 - 0
ARO
45%
26%
30%
|
25 | 26 | 1 | -1 |
| 06 Dec. 2008 |
ARO
2 - 4
VIL
42%
25%
33%
|
26 | 31 | 5 | -1 |
| 30 Nov. 2008 |
LAL
3 - 1
ARO
61%
22%
17%
|
27 | 34 | 7 | -1 |
Matches
SD Compostela
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Jan. 2009 |
COM
2 - 2
ALO
75%
17%
8%
|
53 | 31 | 22 | 0 |
| 20 Dec. 2008 |
MON
0 - 0
COM
15%
22%
63%
|
53 | 31 | 22 | 0 |
| 14 Dec. 2008 |
COM
2 - 0
COX
77%
16%
7%
|
53 | 29 | 24 | 0 |
| 07 Dec. 2008 |
BOU
2 - 3
COM
11%
21%
68%
|
53 | 24 | 29 | 0 |
| 30 Nov. 2008 |
COM
1 - 0
GRA
80%
14%
6%
|
52 | 21 | 31 | +1 |